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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
bet $43
tr/day 0.2
WR 90%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/90
draw 1%
Kalshi 93%
active 1d
bet $44
tr/day 0.2
WR 89%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/89
draw 2%
Kalshi 97%
active 1d
16103
0xe42c…2b5f
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $1,658
tr/day 0.1
WR 30%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 60%
active 4d
bet $303
tr/day 0.6
WR 7%
WR 7/30/all —/—/7
draw 100%
Kalshi 64%
active 2d
bet $183
tr/day 2.7
WR 57%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 96%
active 1d
—
−$149 ·2🔓
ROI +57%
Net +42%
bet $275
tr/day 0.6
WR 12%
WR 7/30/all —/0/12
draw 100%
Kalshi 82%
active 2d
16107
0x2c88…e03a
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche politics
bet $1,591
tr/day 0.1
WR 33%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 80%
active 3d
bet $62
tr/day 0.4
WR 58%
WR 7/30/all —/—/58
draw 100%
Kalshi 53%
active 1d
+$198 ·2🔓
ROI -3%
Net -12%
bet $105
tr/day 0.6
WR 40%
WR 7/30/all —/48/40
draw 100%
Kalshi 38%
active 0d
−$350 ·1🔓
ROI -18%
Net -26%
bet $267
tr/day 0.5
WR 13%
WR 7/30/all —/—/13
draw 100%
Kalshi 80%
active 2d
bet $267
tr/day 0.3
WR 22%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 50%
active 3d
bet $405
tr/day 2.7
WR 40%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 20%
active 37d
bet $114
tr/day 1.5
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/60/50
draw 100%
Kalshi 89%
active 9d
+$364 ·2🔓
ROI +13%
Net +2%
bet $70
tr/day 1.0
WR 57%
WR 7/30/all —/82/57
draw 100%
Kalshi 83%
active 12d
bet $176
tr/day 0.6
WR 88%
WR 7/30/all —/—/88
draw 37%
Kalshi 69%
active 0d
bet $105
tr/day 0.3
WR 46%
WR 7/30/all —/—/46
draw 100%
Kalshi 53%
active 7d
16117
0x63aa…a9cc
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $926
tr/day 1.0
WR 74%
WR 7/30/all —/—/74
draw 2%
Kalshi 94%
active 4d
+$10K ·1🔓
ROI -2%
Net -14%
bet $36
tr/day 2.9
WR 46%
WR 7/30/all 46/42/46
draw 100%
Kalshi 45%
active 0d
−$180 ·6🔓
ROI +19%
Net +8%
bet $95
tr/day 5.5
WR 60%
WR 7/30/all —/67/60
draw 71%
Kalshi 78%
active 3d
+$2K ·13🔓
ROI +4%
Net -10%
16120
0xa2c2…d3c0
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $1,733
tr/day 0.4
WR 29%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 71%
active 2d
bet $161
tr/day 0.2
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all —/—/56
draw 81%
Kalshi 58%
active 6d
bet $727
tr/day 3.0
WR 75%
WR 7/30/all 64/81/75
draw 44%
Kalshi 92%
active 0d
+$13K ·7🔓
ROI +0%
Net -16%
16123
0x7568…daf0
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $880
tr/day 0.4
WR 73%
WR 7/30/all —/75/73
draw 100%
Kalshi 77%
active 8d
bet $175
tr/day 0.5
WR 58%
WR 7/30/all —/50/58
draw 100%
Kalshi 71%
active 3d
−$3K ·3🔓
ROI -18%
Net -26%
bet $51
tr/day 0.2
WR 86%
WR 7/30/all —/85/86
draw 100%
Kalshi 97%
active 1d
16126
0x062f…bab3
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $1,133
tr/day 0.0
WR 40%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 60%
active 37d
bet $222
tr/day 4.2
WR 54%
WR 7/30/all —/—/54
draw 100%
Kalshi 85%
active 36d
bet $134
tr/day 2.8
WR 63%
WR 7/30/all 50/64/63
draw 100%
Kalshi 99%
active 0d
bet $39
tr/day 7.0
WR 59%
WR 7/30/all 57/56/59
draw 100%
Kalshi 99%
active 0d
+$153 ·3🔓
ROI +1%
Net -13%
16130
0xb70b…6087
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche culture
bet $202
tr/day 13.1
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all —/54/53
draw 46%
Kalshi 85%
active 2d
bet $10
tr/day 7.7
WR 32%
WR 7/30/all —/—/32
draw 100%
Kalshi 30%
active 37d
bet $36
tr/day 2.7
WR 47%
WR 7/30/all 14/16/47
draw 100%
Kalshi 81%
active 0d
bet $100
tr/day 5.2
WR 54%
WR 7/30/all 47/51/54
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
16134
0x7972…ec63
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche politics
bet $2,014
tr/day 0.2
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 46%
Kalshi 100%
active 37d
bet $42
tr/day 0.2
WR 33%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 3%
Kalshi 0%
active 37d
bet $26
tr/day 0.9
WR 45%
WR 7/30/all —/67/45
draw 100%
Kalshi 89%
active 0d
−$134 ·5🔓
ROI -9%
Net -17%
bet $140
tr/day 1.3
WR 20%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 64%
Kalshi 60%
active 20d
bet $36
tr/day 2.1
WR 71%
WR 7/30/all —/50/71
draw 89%
Kalshi 74%
active 1d
bet $16
tr/day 3.6
WR 31%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 27%
Kalshi 54%
active 0d
—
+$387 ·1🔓
ROI +94%
Net +68%
bet $22
tr/day 1.0
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all 56/53/50
draw 47%
Kalshi 91%
active 0d
bet $126
tr/day 2.0
WR 59%
WR 7/30/all —/—/59
draw 100%
Kalshi 39%
active 15d
bet $6
tr/day 0.7
WR 61%
WR 7/30/all —/—/61
draw 45%
Kalshi 92%
active 37d
16143
0x1413…8464
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $2,972
tr/day 0.3
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 67%
Kalshi 12%
active 38d
bet $498
tr/day 0.1
WR 32%
WR 7/30/all —/—/32
draw 100%
Kalshi 36%
active 38d
bet $127
tr/day 3.7
WR 54%
WR 7/30/all —/—/54
draw 74%
Kalshi 34%
active 38d
bet $1,000
tr/day 4.0
WR 25%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 1%
Kalshi 50%
active 38d
bet $100
tr/day 0.2
WR 27%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 47%
active 0d
—
+$442 ·2🔓
ROI +86%
Net +68%
bet $23
tr/day 0.2
WR 52%
WR 7/30/all 50/50/52
draw 100%
Kalshi 95%
active 0d
bet $109
tr/day 0.5
WR 60%
WR 7/30/all —/—/60
draw 100%
Kalshi 45%
active 29d
bet $100
tr/day 1.5
WR 49%
WR 7/30/all 64/62/49
draw 94%
Kalshi 68%
active 0d
+$253 ·1🔓
ROI -4%
Net -13%
#16101
negative
crypto
#16102
negative
crypto
#16103
other
#16104
negative
world
#16105
—
borderline
tech
#16106
negative
world
#16107
politics
#16108
negative
other
#16109
negative
other
#16110
negative
world
#16111
other
#16112
other
#16113
trap
crypto
#16114
negative
crypto
#16115
negative
crypto
#16116
negative
sports
#16117
negative
crypto
#16118
trap
other
#16119
negative
sports
#16120
sports
#16121
negative
sports
#16122
negative
world
#16123
negative
crypto
#16124
negative
sports
#16125
negative
sports
#16126
sports
#16127
negative
sports
#16128
negative
crypto
#16129
negative
sports
#16130
negative
culture
#16131
trap
other
#16132
negative
sports
#16133
negative
sports
#16134
politics
#16135
other
#16136
negative
finance
#16137
other
#16138
negative
sports
#16139
—
borderline
sports
#16140
negative
sports
#16141
negative
other
#16142
trap
crypto
#16143
other
#16144
one-bet luck
other
#16145
negative
other
#16146
sports
#16147
—
borderline
other
#16148
trap
crypto
#16149
negative
other
#16150
negative
sports
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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