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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
bet $109
tr/day 0.5
WR 60%
WR 7/30/all —/—/60
draw 100%
Kalshi 45%
active 29d
bet $100
tr/day 1.5
WR 49%
WR 7/30/all 64/62/49
draw 94%
Kalshi 68%
active 0d
+$253 ·1🔓
ROI -4%
Net -13%
bet $19
tr/day 1.6
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 94%
Kalshi 60%
active 38d
bet $5
tr/day 1.5
WR 49%
WR 7/30/all —/17/49
draw 100%
Kalshi 68%
active 5d
bet $42
tr/day 0.5
WR 62%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 21d
bet $109
tr/day 0.1
WR 17%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 82%
Kalshi 100%
active 38d
bet $142
tr/day 0.2
WR 46%
WR 7/30/all —/—/46
draw 34%
Kalshi 100%
active 38d
bet $815
tr/day 2.1
WR 55%
WR 7/30/all —/—/55
draw 100%
Kalshi 76%
active 38d
16159
0x3e6a…2dcf
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $637
tr/day 1.3
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all —/—/43
draw 100%
Kalshi 87%
active 38d
bet $128
tr/day 1.3
WR 45%
WR 7/30/all —/—/45
draw 100%
Kalshi 60%
active 28d
bet $226
tr/day 0.3
WR 82%
WR 7/30/all —/—/82
draw 79%
Kalshi 96%
active 16d
bet $255
tr/day 0.1
WR 11%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 78%
active 20d
bet $11
tr/day 4.4
WR 49%
WR 7/30/all —/—/49
draw 85%
Kalshi 67%
active 20d
+$19 ·13🔓
ROI +0%
Net -13%
bet $608
tr/day 5.3
WR 42%
WR 7/30/all —/—/42
draw 100%
Kalshi 74%
active 27d
+$6K ·10🔓
ROI +6%
Net -12%
16165
0xc98b…6430
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche world
bet $1,220
tr/day 17.6
WR 70%
WR 7/30/all —/57/70
draw 14%
Kalshi 73%
active 2d
bet $102
tr/day 0.2
WR 70%
WR 7/30/all —/—/70
draw 100%
Kalshi 92%
active 38d
bet $54
tr/day 0.2
WR 91%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/91
draw 2%
Kalshi 94%
active 0d
bet $169
tr/day 0.9
WR 94%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/94
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
16169
0xc996…74ad
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $1,930
tr/day 0.1
WR 25%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 38%
active 4d
bet $47
tr/day 0.1
WR 75%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 58%
Kalshi 88%
active 16d
bet $370
tr/day 0.2
WR 47%
WR 7/30/all —/—/47
draw 100%
Kalshi 71%
active 3d
bet $103
tr/day 0.4
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all —/—/56
draw 6%
Kalshi 71%
active 38d
bet $851
tr/day 3.7
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all —/38/43
draw 29%
Kalshi 100%
active 27d
bet $108
tr/day 0.6
WR 94%
WR 7/30/all —/100/94
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 2d
bet $235
tr/day 0.6
WR 12%
WR 7/30/all —/11/12
draw 100%
Kalshi 81%
active 4d
bet $152
tr/day 6.7
WR 64%
WR 7/30/all —/—/64
draw 77%
Kalshi 100%
active 38d
bet $5
tr/day 0.8
WR 39%
WR 7/30/all —/20/39
draw 100%
Kalshi 73%
active 1d
bet $29
tr/day 0.3
WR 33%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 28%
Kalshi 0%
active 34d
bet $555
tr/day 2.7
WR 71%
WR 7/30/all —/100/71
draw 100%
Kalshi 79%
active 7d
bet $333
tr/day 0.4
WR 54%
WR 7/30/all —/56/54
draw 80%
Kalshi 69%
active 21d
bet $377
tr/day 1.0
WR 29%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 71%
active 14d
bet $59
tr/day 0.2
WR 33%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 88%
Kalshi 55%
active 38d
16183
0x0788…5c76
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche politics
bet $1,753
tr/day 0.1
WR 33%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 78%
active 0d
bet $318
tr/day 7.2
WR 71%
WR 7/30/all 61/64/71
draw 100%
Kalshi 53%
active 0d
+$531 ·41🔓
ROI -1%
Net -14%
bet $486
tr/day 0.7
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all —/—/98
draw 100%
Kalshi 88%
active 21d
bet $152
tr/day 0.7
WR 54%
WR 7/30/all —/—/54
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 38d
bet $214
tr/day 3.9
WR 58%
WR 7/30/all 57/56/58
draw 100%
Kalshi 99%
active 0d
bet $28
tr/day 7.0
WR 48%
WR 7/30/all —/47/48
draw 100%
Kalshi 83%
active 0d
+$437 ·18🔓
ROI +8%
Net -6%
bet $22
tr/day 4.2
WR 51%
WR 7/30/all —/—/51
draw 100%
Kalshi 82%
active 25d
bet $125
tr/day 0.4
WR 17%
WR 7/30/all —/—/17
draw 100%
Kalshi 63%
active 5d
+$117 ·8🔓
ROI -16%
Net -24%
bet $104
tr/day 4.7
WR 79%
WR 7/30/all —/84/79
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 28d
bet $433
tr/day 5.9
WR 41%
WR 7/30/all 22/35/41
draw 24%
Kalshi 70%
active 0d
bet $239
tr/day 0.2
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all —/—/53
draw 39%
Kalshi 77%
active 30d
16194
0xcf13…690a
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche world
bet $541
tr/day 0.7
WR 61%
WR 7/30/all —/—/61
draw 100%
Kalshi 72%
active 10d
bet $213
tr/day 0.4
WR 8%
WR 7/30/all —/0/8
draw 100%
Kalshi 83%
active 4d
bet $314
tr/day 7.0
WR 87%
WR 7/30/all 78/93/87
draw 100%
Kalshi 78%
active 0d
+$2K ·35🔓
ROI +0%
Net -13%
bet $24
tr/day 0.9
WR 33%
WR 7/30/all —/—/33
draw 56%
Kalshi 79%
active 15d
+$73 ·12🔓
ROI +123%
Net +102%
16198
0xa285…0f24
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $1,273
tr/day 0.5
WR 76%
WR 7/30/all —/—/76
draw 14%
Kalshi 88%
active 39d
bet $339
tr/day 0.5
WR 13%
WR 7/30/all —/0/13
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 4d
bet $33
tr/day 0.2
WR 25%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 53%
Kalshi 0%
active 19d
#16151
negative
other
#16152
negative
sports
#16153
sports
#16154
negative
crypto
#16155
sports
#16156
sports
#16157
negative
sports
#16158
negative
politics
#16159
negative
sports
#16160
negative
crypto
#16161
negative
world
#16162
world
#16163
negative
crypto
#16164
negative
sports
#16165
negative
world
#16166
negative
crypto
#16167
negative
crypto
#16168
negative
crypto
#16169
other
#16170
crypto
#16171
negative
world
#16172
negative
other
#16173
negative
sports
#16174
negative
crypto
#16175
negative
world
#16176
trap
crypto
#16177
trap
sports
#16178
other
#16179
negative
world
#16180
negative
sports
#16181
crypto
#16182
other
#16183
politics
#16184
negative
other
#16185
negative
crypto
#16186
negative
crypto
#16187
negative
sports
#16188
negative
sports
#16189
negative
crypto
#16190
negative
other
#16191
negative
crypto
#16192
negative
sports
#16193
negative
economics
#16194
negative
world
#16195
negative
world
#16196
negative
world
#16197
thin data
sports
#16198
negative
crypto
#16199
negative
world
#16200
other
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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