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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
bet $113
tr/day 0.6
WR 60%
WR 7/30/all —/—/60
draw 2%
Kalshi 80%
active 3d
bet $147
tr/day 4.6
WR 58%
WR 7/30/all 50/55/58
draw 86%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
+$214 ·1🔓
ROI -3%
Net -15%
bet $99
tr/day 3.9
WR 64%
WR 7/30/all 50/50/64
draw 87%
Kalshi 51%
active 0d
bet $154
tr/day 1.8
WR 22%
WR 7/30/all —/—/22
draw 100%
Kalshi 46%
active 4d
+$877 ·3🔓
ROI -18%
Net -25%
bet $223
tr/day 1.0
WR 38%
WR 7/30/all —/—/38
draw 37%
Kalshi 85%
active 23d
bet $163
tr/day 0.6
WR 20%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 99%
Kalshi 100%
active 8d
bet $282
tr/day 0.3
WR 93%
WR 7/30/all —/—/93
draw 0%
Kalshi 84%
active 3d
bet $49
tr/day 5.3
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all 90/96/98
draw 0%
Kalshi 70%
active 0d
bet $263
tr/day 3.4
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all —/43/53
draw 53%
Kalshi 98%
active 6d
bet $148
tr/day 0.5
WR 91%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/91
draw 48%
Kalshi 84%
active 7d
+$301 ·8🔓
ROI -0%
Net -10%
bet $32
tr/day 1.5
WR 89%
WR 7/30/all —/73/89
draw 45%
Kalshi 100%
active 3d
+$185 ·11🔓
ROI +9%
Net -1%
bet $2,352
tr/day 2.0
WR 99%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/99
draw 0%
Kalshi 98%
active 1d
bet $94
tr/day 1.8
WR 42%
WR 7/30/all —/33/42
draw 52%
Kalshi 79%
active 7d
8114
0xe03d…7208
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $1,062
tr/day 0.1
WR 59%
WR 7/30/all —/—/59
draw 100%
Kalshi 68%
active 34d
8115
0xbe56…093d
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $101
tr/day 13.6
WR 49%
WR 7/30/all 59/49/49
draw 100%
Kalshi 51%
active 0d
+$185 ·3🔓
ROI +8%
Net -10%
bet $591
tr/day 5.5
WR 41%
WR 7/30/all —/75/41
draw 12%
Kalshi 82%
active 0d
+$4K ·2🔓
ROI -16%
Net -30%
bet $29
tr/day 0.2
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all —/—/53
draw 100%
Kalshi 37%
active 39d
bet $152
tr/day 1.1
WR 47%
WR 7/30/all —/71/47
draw 100%
Kalshi 93%
active 26d
bet $190
tr/day 0.2
WR 69%
WR 7/30/all —/50/69
draw 79%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
+$1K ·1🔓
ROI +23%
Net +12%
bet $498
tr/day 1.2
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all —/40/56
draw 74%
Kalshi 64%
active 3d
8121
0x4d0f…68e1
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche crypto
bet $15
tr/day 19.7
WR 57%
WR 7/30/all 47/54/57
draw 41%
Kalshi 99%
active 0d
bet $273
tr/day 0.2
WR 81%
WR 7/30/all —/—/81
draw 59%
Kalshi 44%
active 34d
8123
0x4a9e…0dfc
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $159
tr/day 10.0
WR 36%
WR 7/30/all —/32/36
draw 58%
Kalshi 65%
active 6d
bet $942
tr/day 4.8
WR 51%
WR 7/30/all 54/48/51
draw 77%
Kalshi 86%
active 0d
bet $39
tr/day 4.1
WR 28%
WR 7/30/all 21/28/28
draw 45%
Kalshi 36%
active 0d
+$1K ·4🔓
ROI +42%
Net +23%
bet $114
tr/day 0.9
WR 49%
WR 7/30/all 40/39/49
draw 100%
Kalshi 88%
active 0d
bet $115
tr/day 0.9
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all 40/32/50
draw 56%
Kalshi 89%
active 0d
8128
0x0546…17a9
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche weather
bet $395
tr/day 42.8
WR 79%
WR 7/30/all 71/80/79
draw 37%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $123
tr/day 0.3
WR 95%
WR 7/30/all —/—/95
draw 1%
Kalshi 55%
active 8d
bet $105
tr/day 0.9
WR 46%
WR 7/30/all —/42/46
draw 100%
Kalshi 89%
active 1d
bet $118
tr/day 0.9
WR 49%
WR 7/30/all 60/61/49
draw 100%
Kalshi 88%
active 1d
bet $93
tr/day 0.3
WR 76%
WR 7/30/all —/80/76
draw 24%
Kalshi 89%
active 1d
bet $116
tr/day 0.9
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all 60/68/53
draw 100%
Kalshi 88%
active 1d
−$532 ·1🔓
ROI -7%
Net -16%
bet $518
tr/day 2.2
WR 29%
WR 7/30/all —/—/29
draw 100%
Kalshi 96%
active 29d
bet $34
tr/day 1.8
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 61%
Kalshi 44%
active 18d
bet $205
tr/day 1.4
WR 90%
WR 7/30/all —/—/90
draw 1%
Kalshi 65%
active 18d
bet $15
tr/day 1.5
WR 63%
WR 7/30/all —/40/63
draw 64%
Kalshi 97%
active 16d
8138
0x76aa…58ce
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $558
tr/day 0.4
WR 55%
WR 7/30/all —/23/55
draw 81%
Kalshi 71%
active 16d
bet $238
tr/day 1.3
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all —/73/53
draw 100%
Kalshi 86%
active 1d
+$186 ·1🔓
ROI -28%
Net -35%
bet $149
tr/day 1.0
WR 59%
WR 7/30/all —/—/59
draw 55%
Kalshi 53%
active 34d
bet $146
tr/day 3.8
WR 55%
WR 7/30/all —/—/55
draw 100%
Kalshi 77%
active 22d
bet $1,000
tr/day 2.0
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/34/50
draw 100%
Kalshi 90%
active 17d
bet $422
tr/day 3.3
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all 33/45/50
draw 93%
Kalshi 86%
active 0d
bet $147
tr/day 1.9
WR 45%
WR 7/30/all —/—/45
draw 100%
Kalshi 78%
active 33d
bet $85
tr/day 0.4
WR 86%
WR 7/30/all —/100/86
draw 100%
Kalshi 99%
active 7d
bet $250
tr/day 0.1
WR 15%
WR 7/30/all —/17/15
draw 65%
Kalshi 92%
active 9d
bet $126
tr/day 0.1
WR 91%
WR 7/30/all —/—/91
draw 3%
Kalshi 76%
active 11d
bet $111
tr/day 0.6
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 6d
bet $183
tr/day 1.8
WR 51%
WR 7/30/all —/50/51
draw 100%
Kalshi 50%
active 30d
8150
0x3fd1…045c
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $955
tr/day 0.9
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 86%
active 19d
#8101
negative
crypto
#8102
negative
sports
#8103
negative
sports
#8104
negative
other
#8105
negative
world
#8106
world
#8107
negative
crypto
#8108
negative
sports
#8109
negative
crypto
#8110
negative
crypto
#8111
negative
world
#8112
negative
crypto
#8113
negative
sports
#8114
negative
sports
#8115
negative
sports
#8116
negative
sports
#8117
negative
other
#8118
negative
crypto
#8119
edge dead
sports
#8120
negative
other
#8121
negative
crypto
#8122
negative
other
#8123
negative
sports
#8124
negative
sports
#8125
borderline
other
#8126
negative
sports
#8127
negative
sports
#8128
negative
weather
#8129
negative
other
#8130
negative
sports
#8131
negative
sports
#8132
negative
world
#8133
negative
sports
#8134
negative
sports
#8135
—
negative
other
#8136
negative
other
#8137
negative
sports
#8138
negative
sports
#8139
negative
sports
#8140
negative
other
#8141
negative
crypto
#8142
negative
sports
#8143
negative
sports
#8144
negative
sports
#8145
negative
crypto
#8146
negative
sports
#8147
negative
crypto
#8148
negative
crypto
#8149
negative
other
#8150
negative
crypto
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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