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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
bet $246
tr/day 0.5
WR 26%
WR 7/30/all —/9/26
draw 45%
Kalshi 52%
active 19d
bet $102
tr/day 1.6
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all 50/46/50
draw 100%
Kalshi 69%
active 0d
−$387 ·3🔓
ROI -5%
Net -14%
8603
0x645e…d9dc
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $645
tr/day 1.8
WR 90%
WR 7/30/all —/—/90
draw 16%
Kalshi 80%
active 27d
bet $3,254
tr/day 3.3
WR 57%
WR 7/30/all —/—/57
draw 40%
Kalshi 59%
active 27d
bet $170
tr/day 1.4
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all —/—/44
draw 100%
Kalshi 97%
active 18d
8606
0xa9af…c492
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $976
tr/day 0.9
WR 41%
WR 7/30/all —/—/41
draw 52%
Kalshi 65%
active 30d
bet $165
tr/day 0.5
WR 46%
WR 7/30/all —/—/46
draw 100%
Kalshi 50%
active 0d
−$111 ·1🔓
ROI -6%
Net -15%
8608
0xd3fb…57e5
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche other
bet $491
tr/day 12.4
WR 77%
WR 7/30/all —/—/77
draw 6%
Kalshi 63%
active 28d
+$14K ·25🔓
ROI +28%
Net +7%
bet $16
tr/day 5.7
WR 47%
WR 7/30/all 56/46/47
draw 100%
Kalshi 50%
active 1d
bet $53
tr/day 0.4
WR 54%
WR 7/30/all 40/57/54
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $271
tr/day 0.5
WR 97%
WR 7/30/all —/—/97
draw 80%
Kalshi 59%
active 38d
bet $175
tr/day 0.2
WR 79%
WR 7/30/all —/—/79
draw 100%
Kalshi 41%
active 1d
bet $120
tr/day 0.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 38d
bet $236
tr/day 0.6
WR 87%
WR 7/30/all —/100/87
draw 8%
Kalshi 97%
active 1d
+$262 ·1🔓
ROI -1%
Net -11%
8615
0x7544…8413
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $1,543
tr/day 0.3
WR 92%
WR 7/30/all 100/92/92
draw 6%
Kalshi 95%
active 0d
+$883 ·1🔓
ROI -1%
Net -14%
bet $12
tr/day 2.3
WR 70%
WR 7/30/all —/20/70
draw 39%
Kalshi 60%
active 22d
bet $209
tr/day 0.6
WR 87%
WR 7/30/all —/100/87
draw 18%
Kalshi 97%
active 1d
+$180 ·1🔓
ROI -3%
Net -12%
8618
0x4a30…86a3
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $1,376
tr/day 0.5
WR 89%
WR 7/30/all 56/56/89
draw 5%
Kalshi 90%
active 0d
+$480 ·2🔓
ROI +0%
Net -13%
bet $199
tr/day 0.1
WR 42%
WR 7/30/all —/—/42
draw 100%
Kalshi 62%
active 0d
+$195 ·4🔓
ROI -22%
Net -30%
8620
0x628d…2190
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $1,483
tr/day 0.5
WR 84%
WR 7/30/all 43/43/84
draw 30%
Kalshi 93%
active 0d
+$265 ·1🔓
ROI +0%
Net -13%
bet $26
tr/day 1.0
WR 97%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/97
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 1d
bet $480
tr/day 0.2
WR 70%
WR 7/30/all —/—/70
draw 100%
Kalshi 88%
active 3d
8623
0x6903…b2ed
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche crypto
bet $172
tr/day 14.6
WR 62%
WR 7/30/all 68/60/62
draw 100%
Kalshi 89%
active 0d
bet $126
tr/day 0.9
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all 80/54/53
draw 100%
Kalshi 90%
active 0d
+$185 ·1🔓
ROI -0%
Net -10%
bet $109
tr/day 0.9
WR 46%
WR 7/30/all 20/48/46
draw 100%
Kalshi 89%
active 0d
bet $24
tr/day 2.1
WR 79%
WR 7/30/all —/74/79
draw 96%
Kalshi 97%
active 11d
bet $357
tr/day 0.3
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 96%
active 23d
bet $249
tr/day 0.5
WR 22%
WR 7/30/all —/—/22
draw 33%
Kalshi 68%
active 32d
bet $248
tr/day 0.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 23d
bet $277
tr/day 0.4
WR 23%
WR 7/30/all —/—/23
draw 17%
Kalshi 74%
active 29d
bet $261
tr/day 1.4
WR 93%
WR 7/30/all —/100/93
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 1d
bet $233
tr/day 0.1
WR 18%
WR 7/30/all —/—/18
draw 100%
Kalshi 47%
active 28d
bet $18
tr/day 0.1
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 86%
active 11d
8634
0xffeb…ebcd
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $688
tr/day 1.4
WR 96%
WR 7/30/all —/—/96
draw 0%
Kalshi 43%
active 24d
8635
0x438a…61c4
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche weather
bet $97
tr/day 32.1
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all 60/51/50
draw 10%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
8636
0x5041…6c21
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche tech
bet $583
tr/day 0.3
WR 94%
WR 7/30/all —/100/94
draw 2%
Kalshi 95%
active 0d
bet $395
tr/day 0.6
WR 93%
WR 7/30/all —/—/93
draw 9%
Kalshi 82%
active 9d
+$280 ·3🔓
ROI -2%
Net -11%
bet $54
tr/day 0.1
WR 79%
WR 7/30/all —/—/79
draw 2%
Kalshi 38%
active 30d
bet $110
tr/day 0.1
WR 79%
WR 7/30/all —/—/79
draw 100%
Kalshi 93%
active 33d
8640
0xa66f…9342
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $572
tr/day 0.4
WR 97%
WR 7/30/all —/100/97
draw 0%
Kalshi 91%
active 23d
bet $56
tr/day 3.2
WR 42%
WR 7/30/all 56/43/42
draw 100%
Kalshi 91%
active 0d
+$385 ·2🔓
ROI +2%
Net -11%
bet $136
tr/day 0.6
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/60/67
draw 8%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $230
tr/day 2.5
WR 15%
WR 7/30/all —/—/15
draw 100%
Kalshi 51%
active 32d
bet $132
tr/day 2.1
WR 45%
WR 7/30/all —/47/45
draw 100%
Kalshi 66%
active 11d
bet $100
tr/day 5.3
WR 99%
WR 7/30/all 100/98/99
draw 0%
Kalshi 68%
active 0d
+$128 ·2🔓
ROI +0%
Net -13%
bet $50
tr/day 5.0
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all 92/96/98
draw 0%
Kalshi 70%
active 0d
bet $50
tr/day 5.0
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all 90/97/98
draw 0%
Kalshi 69%
active 1d
8648
0xed14…2ef9
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $644
tr/day 0.3
WR 71%
WR 7/30/all —/—/71
draw 76%
Kalshi 89%
active 4d
+$14 ·1🔓
ROI -26%
Net -35%
8649
0x463c…f424
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $645
tr/day 0.3
WR 74%
WR 7/30/all —/—/74
draw 70%
Kalshi 89%
active 0d
+$17 ·2🔓
ROI -24%
Net -34%
bet $243
tr/day 0.3
WR 17%
WR 7/30/all —/—/17
draw 34%
Kalshi 80%
active 38d
#8601
negative
sports
#8602
negative
sports
#8603
negative
sports
#8604
negative
sports
#8605
negative
sports
#8606
negative
sports
#8607
negative
other
#8608
fragile wins
other
#8609
negative
other
#8610
negative
sports
#8611
negative
crypto
#8612
negative
other
#8613
negative
crypto
#8614
negative
crypto
#8615
negative
crypto
#8616
negative
sports
#8617
negative
crypto
#8618
negative
crypto
#8619
negative
other
#8620
negative
crypto
#8621
negative
crypto
#8622
negative
crypto
#8623
negative
crypto
#8624
negative
sports
#8625
negative
sports
#8626
negative
weather
#8627
negative
crypto
#8628
negative
other
#8629
negative
crypto
#8630
negative
politics
#8631
negative
crypto
#8632
negative
other
#8633
negative
politics
#8634
negative
other
#8635
borderline
weather
#8636
negative
tech
#8637
negative
crypto
#8638
negative
other
#8639
negative
finance
#8640
negative
crypto
#8641
negative
sports
#8642
negative
politics
#8643
negative
other
#8644
negative
sports
#8645
negative
sports
#8646
negative
sports
#8647
negative
sports
#8648
negative
crypto
#8649
negative
crypto
#8650
negative
politics
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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