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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
8651
0x463c…f424
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $645
tr/day 0.3
WR 74%
WR 7/30/all —/—/74
draw 70%
Kalshi 89%
active 0d
+$17 ·2🔓
ROI -24%
Net -34%
bet $243
tr/day 0.3
WR 17%
WR 7/30/all —/—/17
draw 34%
Kalshi 80%
active 38d
bet $202
tr/day 0.6
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all —/—/53
draw 100%
Kalshi 75%
active 3d
bet $241
tr/day 0.5
WR 22%
WR 7/30/all —/—/22
draw 67%
Kalshi 67%
active 38d
bet $282
tr/day 0.5
WR 25%
WR 7/30/all —/—/25
draw 18%
Kalshi 70%
active 32d
bet $210
tr/day 1.9
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/50
draw 100%
Kalshi 26%
active 5d
bet $32
tr/day 1.4
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 11%
active 38d
bet $207
tr/day 0.3
WR 33%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 59%
Kalshi 78%
active 8d
bet $245
tr/day 0.5
WR 21%
WR 7/30/all —/—/21
draw 45%
Kalshi 70%
active 32d
bet $191
tr/day 0.2
WR 51%
WR 7/30/all —/—/51
draw 100%
Kalshi 58%
active 15d
−$408 ·5🔓
ROI -25%
Net -32%
bet $380
tr/day 0.3
WR 41%
WR 7/30/all —/—/41
draw 6%
Kalshi 82%
active 5d
bet $242
tr/day 0.5
WR 24%
WR 7/30/all —/—/24
draw 47%
Kalshi 64%
active 35d
bet $374
tr/day 0.4
WR 33%
WR 7/30/all —/33/33
draw 11%
Kalshi 88%
active 13d
bet $410
tr/day 0.4
WR 63%
WR 7/30/all —/—/63
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 8d
bet $402
tr/day 0.9
WR 65%
WR 7/30/all —/—/65
draw 90%
Kalshi 60%
active 38d
bet $169
tr/day 5.1
WR 54%
WR 7/30/all 59/59/54
draw 92%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $406
tr/day 0.5
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/—/67
draw 8%
Kalshi 100%
active 39d
bet $31
tr/day 1.0
WR 58%
WR 7/30/all —/38/58
draw 100%
Kalshi 37%
active 4d
+$189 ·10🔓
ROI +1%
Net -9%
bet $84
tr/day 1.7
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all —/44/53
draw 100%
Kalshi 90%
active 0d
+$653 ·12🔓
ROI +5%
Net -5%
bet $276
tr/day 0.5
WR 24%
WR 7/30/all —/—/24
draw 53%
Kalshi 64%
active 22d
bet $408
tr/day 0.2
WR 71%
WR 7/30/all —/—/71
draw 100%
Kalshi 77%
active 11d
bet $220
tr/day 2.6
WR 13%
WR 7/30/all —/—/13
draw 100%
Kalshi 58%
active 30d
bet $227
tr/day 0.1
WR 26%
WR 7/30/all —/—/26
draw 45%
Kalshi 92%
active 20d
+$927 ·1🔓
ROI -10%
Net -19%
bet $1,442
tr/day 4.5
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all 49/50/56
draw 90%
Kalshi 99%
active 0d
+$15K ·7🔓
ROI +1%
Net -16%
bet $107
tr/day 0.6
WR 92%
WR 7/30/all —/100/92
draw 46%
Kalshi 100%
active 2d
8676
0x3dcb…324d
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $561
tr/day 1.0
WR 70%
WR 7/30/all —/—/70
draw 100%
Kalshi 86%
active 23d
+$2K ·31🔓
ROI -3%
Net -16%
bet $258
tr/day 0.5
WR 23%
WR 7/30/all —/—/23
draw 37%
Kalshi 75%
active 42d
bet $290
tr/day 0.4
WR 45%
WR 7/30/all —/17/45
draw 10%
Kalshi 87%
active 0d
bet $192
tr/day 2.7
WR 14%
WR 7/30/all —/—/14
draw 65%
Kalshi 56%
active 32d
8680
0x9d9b…5dde
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $951
tr/day 0.9
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 64%
active 10d
bet $407
tr/day 0.3
WR 39%
WR 7/30/all —/—/39
draw 34%
Kalshi 83%
active 5d
bet $390
tr/day 0.9
WR 72%
WR 7/30/all —/80/72
draw 100%
Kalshi 93%
active 10d
bet $67
tr/day 6.0
WR 52%
WR 7/30/all 44/55/52
draw 62%
Kalshi 97%
active 0d
bet $276
tr/day 6.0
WR 38%
WR 7/30/all 38/42/38
draw 70%
Kalshi 89%
active 0d
bet $296
tr/day 0.8
WR 88%
WR 7/30/all —/100/88
draw 54%
Kalshi 91%
active 7d
bet $100
tr/day 1.5
WR 58%
WR 7/30/all 33/52/58
draw 41%
Kalshi 97%
active 2d
bet $58
tr/day 0.1
WR 90%
WR 7/30/all —/—/90
draw 2%
Kalshi 63%
active 39d
8688
0xc1cf…9656
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche politics
bet $519
tr/day 18.8
WR 54%
WR 7/30/all 22/45/54
draw 76%
Kalshi 80%
active 2d
+$13K ·64🔓
ROI +8%
Net -10%
bet $318
tr/day 0.9
WR 38%
WR 7/30/all —/—/38
draw 41%
Kalshi 77%
active 30d
8690
0x671f…1ad6
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $530
tr/day 0.2
WR 73%
WR 7/30/all —/—/73
draw 93%
Kalshi 89%
active 4d
bet $1,464
tr/day 2.0
WR 21%
WR 7/30/all —/—/21
draw 57%
Kalshi 62%
active 34d
8692
0xb6c6…933a
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $175
tr/day 20.0
WR 61%
WR 7/30/all —/52/61
draw 96%
Kalshi 97%
active 23d
bet $116
tr/day 3.0
WR 70%
WR 7/30/all 82/75/70
draw 100%
Kalshi 50%
active 0d
bet $189
tr/day 6.8
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all 41/46/43
draw 77%
Kalshi 98%
active 0d
bet $76
tr/day 2.7
WR 46%
WR 7/30/all —/45/46
draw 79%
Kalshi 35%
active 2d
bet $261
tr/day 0.9
WR 58%
WR 7/30/all —/—/58
draw 43%
Kalshi 83%
active 23d
bet $286
tr/day 0.6
WR 29%
WR 7/30/all —/—/29
draw 43%
Kalshi 93%
active 2d
bet $268
tr/day 0.7
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all —/50/43
draw 43%
Kalshi 71%
active 0d
bet $114
tr/day 0.6
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all —/—/56
draw 2%
Kalshi 80%
active 6d
bet $269
tr/day 1.3
WR 52%
WR 7/30/all —/—/52
draw 100%
Kalshi 82%
active 6d
−$124 ·1🔓
ROI -12%
Net -20%
#8651
negative
crypto
#8652
negative
politics
#8653
negative
politics
#8654
negative
other
#8655
negative
politics
#8656
negative
other
#8657
other
#8658
world
#8659
negative
politics
#8660
negative
world
#8661
negative
world
#8662
negative
other
#8663
negative
world
#8664
negative
world
#8665
negative
other
#8666
negative
sports
#8667
negative
sports
#8668
negative
other
#8669
negative
world
#8670
negative
other
#8671
negative
sports
#8672
negative
other
#8673
negative
crypto
#8674
negative
sports
#8675
negative
crypto
#8676
negative
crypto
#8677
negative
politics
#8678
negative
world
#8679
negative
other
#8680
negative
other
#8681
negative
world
#8682
negative
sports
#8683
negative
sports
#8684
negative
sports
#8685
negative
crypto
#8686
negative
sports
#8687
negative
other
#8688
negative
politics
#8689
negative
world
#8690
negative
crypto
#8691
negative
other
#8692
negative
sports
#8693
negative
other
#8694
negative
sports
#8695
negative
other
#8696
negative
world
#8697
negative
world
#8698
negative
world
#8699
negative
crypto
#8700
negative
sports
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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