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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
bet $260
tr/day 0.9
WR 68%
WR 7/30/all —/—/68
draw 100%
Kalshi 24%
active 22d
bet $4
tr/day 1.6
WR 42%
WR 7/30/all —/—/42
draw 100%
Kalshi 89%
active 30d
bet $135
tr/day 2.5
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all —/83/56
draw 100%
Kalshi 71%
active 16d
10154
0x5e76…e8e2
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche politics
bet $566
tr/day 0.2
WR 25%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 24d
bet $398
tr/day 0.9
WR 45%
WR 7/30/all 40/40/45
draw 62%
Kalshi 76%
active 0d
bet $180
tr/day 0.2
WR 52%
WR 7/30/all —/83/52
draw 100%
Kalshi 40%
active 13d
bet $171
tr/day 0.2
WR 51%
WR 7/30/all —/—/51
draw 100%
Kalshi 45%
active 0d
+$182 ·5🔓
ROI -10%
Net -18%
bet $476
tr/day 0.2
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all —/—/56
draw 100%
Kalshi 90%
active 31d
bet $33
tr/day 3.5
WR 48%
WR 7/30/all 40/47/48
draw 11%
Kalshi 38%
active 2d
bet $118
tr/day 0.3
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 34d
bet $168
tr/day 0.6
WR 47%
WR 7/30/all —/31/47
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 6d
bet $408
tr/day 0.3
WR 96%
WR 7/30/all —/—/96
draw 16%
Kalshi 34%
active 9d
10163
0xf16f…38ea
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $797
tr/day 0.4
WR 93%
WR 7/30/all —/—/93
draw 73%
Kalshi 89%
active 0d
bet $42
tr/day 1.4
WR 59%
WR 7/30/all —/—/59
draw 19%
Kalshi 63%
active 2d
bet $439
tr/day 0.8
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/44/50
draw 100%
Kalshi 69%
active 0d
bet $5
tr/day 3.2
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all —/—/44
draw 27%
Kalshi 36%
active 1d
+$172 ·1🔓
ROI -3%
Net -15%
bet $7
tr/day 0.7
WR 42%
WR 7/30/all —/—/42
draw 100%
Kalshi 65%
active 3d
bet $132
tr/day 0.8
WR 94%
WR 7/30/all —/100/94
draw 4%
Kalshi 99%
active 0d
bet $149
tr/day 2.4
WR 70%
WR 7/30/all 60/88/70
draw 100%
Kalshi 81%
active 2d
−$572 ·33🔓
ROI -6%
Net -15%
bet $12
tr/day 0.7
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all —/—/56
draw 92%
Kalshi 78%
active 32d
bet $365
tr/day 0.3
WR 96%
WR 7/30/all —/—/96
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 16d
bet $160
tr/day 3.4
WR 54%
WR 7/30/all —/60/54
draw 100%
Kalshi 46%
active 2d
+$758 ·6🔓
ROI -11%
Net -23%
bet $295
tr/day 1.0
WR 57%
WR 7/30/all 17/33/57
draw 29%
Kalshi 85%
active 0d
bet $130
tr/day 0.2
WR 78%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/78
draw 9%
Kalshi 84%
active 0d
10175
0x5556…d729
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche weather
bet $171
tr/day 21.0
WR 66%
WR 7/30/all 77/61/66
draw 4%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
+$3K ·1🔓
ROI +10%
Net -15%
bet $205
tr/day 0.2
WR 91%
WR 7/30/all —/87/91
draw 0%
Kalshi 96%
active 7d
bet $167
tr/day 1.2
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all —/—/98
draw 1%
Kalshi 97%
active 36d
bet $64
tr/day 1.0
WR 66%
WR 7/30/all —/—/66
draw 54%
Kalshi 85%
active 24d
bet $138
tr/day 1.7
WR 99%
WR 7/30/all —/—/99
draw 0%
Kalshi 98%
active 32d
bet $154
tr/day 1.1
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 96%
active 32d
bet $169
tr/day 1.7
WR 99%
WR 7/30/all —/—/99
draw 0%
Kalshi 98%
active 32d
bet $165
tr/day 2.0
WR 52%
WR 7/30/all 20/38/52
draw 100%
Kalshi 99%
active 0d
bet $136
tr/day 1.1
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all —/—/98
draw 0%
Kalshi 99%
active 34d
bet $149
tr/day 1.8
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all —/—/98
draw 0%
Kalshi 95%
active 32d
bet $841
tr/day 4.8
WR 58%
WR 7/30/all 57/41/58
draw 7%
Kalshi 76%
active 0d
+$6K ·10🔓
ROI +4%
Net -10%
bet $15
tr/day 0.2
WR 60%
WR 7/30/all —/—/60
draw 100%
Kalshi 47%
active 34d
bet $14
tr/day 6.3
WR 61%
WR 7/30/all 61/58/61
draw 50%
Kalshi 96%
active 0d
10188
0xa7fa…7bd6
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $567
tr/day 0.7
WR 80%
WR 7/30/all —/—/80
draw 2%
Kalshi 76%
active 1d
+$744 ·3🔓
ROI +3%
Net -10%
bet $114
tr/day 0.4
WR 65%
WR 7/30/all —/—/65
draw 25%
Kalshi 18%
active 22d
bet $210
tr/day 2.3
WR 87%
WR 7/30/all —/—/87
draw 9%
Kalshi 72%
active 20d
+$201 ·2🔓
ROI -1%
Net -11%
bet $406
tr/day 0.3
WR 37%
WR 7/30/all —/—/37
draw 100%
Kalshi 95%
active 0d
−$243 ·1🔓
ROI -4%
Net -14%
bet $443
tr/day 0.7
WR 69%
WR 7/30/all —/—/69
draw 100%
Kalshi 15%
active 34d
bet $402
tr/day 0.4
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all —/—/43
draw 18%
Kalshi 95%
active 27d
bet $227
tr/day 0.2
WR 18%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 73%
active 13d
bet $373
tr/day 0.4
WR 39%
WR 7/30/all —/—/39
draw 100%
Kalshi 83%
active 5d
bet $186
tr/day 0.4
WR 75%
WR 7/30/all —/—/75
draw 100%
Kalshi 71%
active 11d
bet $172
tr/day 0.2
WR 45%
WR 7/30/all —/—/45
draw 100%
Kalshi 78%
active 9d
10198
0xce4e…5629
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $1,424
tr/day 0.5
WR 81%
WR 7/30/all —/—/81
draw 87%
Kalshi 84%
active 33d
bet $296
tr/day 0.7
WR 36%
WR 7/30/all —/—/36
draw 4%
Kalshi 79%
active 11d
bet $340
tr/day 0.6
WR 40%
WR 7/30/all —/—/40
draw 17%
Kalshi 80%
active 7d
#10151
negative
other
#10152
negative
crypto
#10153
negative
sports
#10154
politics
#10155
negative
crypto
#10156
negative
other
#10157
negative
other
#10158
negative
sports
#10159
negative
other
#10160
sports
#10161
negative
crypto
#10162
negative
other
#10163
negative
crypto
#10164
negative
other
#10165
negative
sports
#10166
negative
other
#10167
negative
sports
#10168
negative
crypto
#10169
negative
crypto
#10170
negative
sports
#10171
negative
tech
#10172
negative
other
#10173
negative
sports
#10174
negative
crypto
#10175
negative
weather
#10176
negative
crypto
#10177
negative
weather
#10178
negative
sports
#10179
negative
weather
#10180
negative
weather
#10181
negative
weather
#10182
negative
sports
#10183
negative
weather
#10184
negative
weather
#10185
negative
world
#10186
negative
other
#10187
negative
crypto
#10188
negative
other
#10189
negative
other
#10190
negative
other
#10191
negative
world
#10192
negative
other
#10193
negative
world
#10194
world
#10195
negative
world
#10196
negative
world
#10197
negative
crypto
#10198
negative
crypto
#10199
negative
world
#10200
negative
world
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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