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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
bet $270
tr/day 0.2
WR 75%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 2%
Kalshi 100%
active 25d
bet $300
tr/day 0.5
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all —/50/56
draw 84%
Kalshi 51%
active 0d
+$909 ·1🔓
ROI -10%
Net -19%
bet $390
tr/day 0.3
WR 47%
WR 7/30/all —/—/47
draw 100%
Kalshi 88%
active 25d
−$150 ·1🔓
ROI -14%
Net -22%
bet $362
tr/day 0.1
WR 72%
WR 7/30/all —/91/72
draw 76%
Kalshi 66%
active 7d
bet $305
tr/day 0.2
WR 47%
WR 7/30/all —/27/47
draw 64%
Kalshi 53%
active 0d
+$748 ·2🔓
ROI -1%
Net -10%
bet $206
tr/day 0.2
WR 89%
WR 7/30/all —/100/89
draw 11%
Kalshi 95%
active 5d
bet $110
tr/day 0.8
WR 52%
WR 7/30/all 83/64/52
draw 100%
Kalshi 89%
active 0d
bet $111
tr/day 0.9
WR 54%
WR 7/30/all 100/68/54
draw 100%
Kalshi 89%
active 0d
bet $115
tr/day 0.9
WR 48%
WR 7/30/all —/58/48
draw 100%
Kalshi 89%
active 0d
bet $141
tr/day 0.2
WR 71%
WR 7/30/all —/—/71
draw 20%
Kalshi 50%
active 25d
bet $304
tr/day 3.5
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 89%
active 0d
+$114 ·11🔓
ROI +0%
Net -13%
bet $101
tr/day 0.1
WR 0%
WR 7/30/all —/0/0
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 25d
bet $21
tr/day 1.3
WR 68%
WR 7/30/all 70/65/68
draw 100%
Kalshi 99%
active 0d
bet $72
tr/day 0.2
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/60/50
draw 63%
Kalshi 92%
active 0d
bet $18
tr/day 1.7
WR 61%
WR 7/30/all —/56/61
draw 100%
Kalshi 98%
active 22d
bet $76
tr/day 0.6
WR 35%
WR 7/30/all —/50/35
draw 62%
Kalshi 91%
active 19d
bet $26
tr/day 0.4
WR 52%
WR 7/30/all —/33/52
draw 100%
Kalshi 44%
active 9d
bet $62
tr/day 1.8
WR 64%
WR 7/30/all —/57/64
draw 100%
Kalshi 53%
active 9d
bet $78
tr/day 1.2
WR 57%
WR 7/30/all 80/67/57
draw 100%
Kalshi 86%
active 0d
+$287 ·16🔓
ROI +1%
Net -9%
11220
0x46cf…42ea
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $723
tr/day 1.8
WR 49%
WR 7/30/all —/22/49
draw 63%
Kalshi 100%
active 15d
bet $124
tr/day 0.2
WR 46%
WR 7/30/all 80/80/46
draw 100%
Kalshi 78%
active 6d
bet $48
tr/day 3.3
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 23%
Kalshi 75%
active 25d
bet $291
tr/day 0.3
WR 33%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 50%
active 1d
bet $818
tr/day 4.2
WR 52%
WR 7/30/all —/33/52
draw 41%
Kalshi 88%
active 25d
bet $106
tr/day 3.0
WR 55%
WR 7/30/all 65/54/55
draw 100%
Kalshi 95%
active 0d
bet $353
tr/day 5.9
WR 62%
WR 7/30/all 61/71/62
draw 100%
Kalshi 81%
active 0d
bet $203
tr/day 0.7
WR 65%
WR 7/30/all —/57/65
draw 61%
Kalshi 69%
active 0d
bet $5
tr/day 5.1
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all —/53/53
draw 100%
Kalshi 94%
active 4d
11229
0x696f…7898
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $542
tr/day 0.2
WR 90%
WR 7/30/all —/—/90
draw 2%
Kalshi 73%
active 8d
+$107 ·1🔓
ROI -4%
Net -17%
bet $42
tr/day 0.9
WR 52%
WR 7/30/all 67/52/52
draw 49%
Kalshi 95%
active 0d
11231
0x540a…ce41
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $1,349
tr/day 0.9
WR 97%
WR 7/30/all —/100/97
draw 0%
Kalshi 99%
active 0d
+$347 ·3🔓
ROI +0%
Net -13%
bet $247
tr/day 3.1
WR 78%
WR 7/30/all 95/75/78
draw 45%
Kalshi 84%
active 0d
bet $111
tr/day 2.5
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all —/42/44
draw 100%
Kalshi 99%
active 5d
bet $77
tr/day 5.1
WR 58%
WR 7/30/all 64/58/58
draw 34%
Kalshi 100%
active 3d
11235
0x5d1c…e16c
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $2,381
tr/day 0.9
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 90%
active 17d
+$120 ·1🔓
ROI +0%
Net -18%
11236
0x7da5…1701
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $1,876
tr/day 0.7
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 83%
active 15d
bet $180
tr/day 0.2
WR 76%
WR 7/30/all —/—/76
draw 2%
Kalshi 94%
active 25d
11238
0xc107…165c
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $2,221
tr/day 0.6
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 89%
active 5d
+$114 ·3🔓
ROI +0%
Net -18%
bet $122
tr/day 0.4
WR 71%
WR 7/30/all —/—/71
draw 100%
Kalshi 67%
active 7d
+$18 ·1🔓
ROI -14%
Net -22%
bet $50
tr/day 4.8
WR 97%
WR 7/30/all 91/93/97
draw 0%
Kalshi 68%
active 0d
bet $743
tr/day 5.8
WR 49%
WR 7/30/all 51/52/49
draw 70%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
+$26K ·3🔓
ROI +2%
Net -15%
bet $677
tr/day 3.9
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all 51/56/56
draw 76%
Kalshi 99%
active 0d
bet $49
tr/day 0.6
WR 71%
WR 7/30/all 69/71/71
draw 26%
Kalshi 82%
active 1d
+$365 ·15🔓
ROI +3%
Net -7%
bet $6
tr/day 2.9
WR 30%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 39%
Kalshi 100%
active 17d
bet $464
tr/day 0.2
WR 96%
WR 7/30/all —/80/96
draw 30%
Kalshi 70%
active 25d
11246
0x5233…eb29
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $167
tr/day 29.1
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/57/67
draw 67%
Kalshi 100%
active 27d
11247
0xb94c…ae33
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $737
tr/day 9.7
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all 42/52/50
draw 92%
Kalshi 99%
active 0d
bet $154
tr/day 1.2
WR 70%
WR 7/30/all —/61/70
draw 100%
Kalshi 72%
active 0d
+$611 ·13🔓
ROI -7%
Net -16%
bet $309
tr/day 2.4
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all —/33/44
draw 100%
Kalshi 86%
active 27d
11250
0x0e03…040f
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $370
tr/day 12.0
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all 50/50/50
draw 95%
Kalshi 96%
active 0d
#11201
world
#11202
negative
other
#11203
negative
world
#11204
trap
sports
#11205
negative
other
#11206
negative
crypto
#11207
negative
sports
#11208
negative
sports
#11209
negative
sports
#11210
negative
other
#11211
negative
weather
#11212
negative
crypto
#11213
negative
sports
#11214
negative
crypto
#11215
negative
sports
#11216
negative
sports
#11217
trap
other
#11218
negative
other
#11219
negative
politics
#11220
negative
sports
#11221
negative
crypto
#11222
culture
#11223
other
#11224
negative
sports
#11225
negative
sports
#11226
negative
sports
#11227
negative
sports
#11228
negative
crypto
#11229
negative
other
#11230
negative
sports
#11231
negative
crypto
#11232
negative
crypto
#11233
negative
sports
#11234
negative
sports
#11235
negative
crypto
#11236
negative
crypto
#11237
negative
weather
#11238
negative
crypto
#11239
negative
politics
#11240
negative
sports
#11241
negative
sports
#11242
negative
sports
#11243
negative
world
#11244
sports
#11245
negative
other
#11246
negative
sports
#11247
negative
sports
#11248
negative
other
#11249
negative
sports
#11250
negative
sports
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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