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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
bet $374
tr/day 0.6
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 99%
active 10d
bet $1,568
tr/day 7.8
WR 99%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/99
draw 10%
Kalshi 100%
active 5d
bet $277
tr/day 1.0
WR 58%
WR 7/30/all —/—/58
draw 100%
Kalshi 68%
active 25d
bet $343
tr/day 1.2
WR 68%
WR 7/30/all —/64/68
draw 100%
Kalshi 80%
active 21d
bet $123
tr/day 0.6
WR 45%
WR 7/30/all —/—/45
draw 83%
Kalshi 49%
active 31d
bet $118
tr/day 1.6
WR 34%
WR 7/30/all —/33/34
draw 100%
Kalshi 59%
active 25d
bet $61
tr/day 2.6
WR 42%
WR 7/30/all 29/43/42
draw 73%
Kalshi 87%
active 0d
bet $53
tr/day 3.1
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 94%
Kalshi 69%
active 0d
—
+$16 ·1🔓
ROI +21%
Net +5%
bet $288
tr/day 0.2
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 37d
bet $237
tr/day 4.3
WR 63%
WR 7/30/all —/—/63
draw 94%
Kalshi 98%
active 32d
bet $12
tr/day 2.1
WR 42%
WR 7/30/all —/—/42
draw 67%
Kalshi 23%
active 25d
bet $126
tr/day 3.7
WR 48%
WR 7/30/all —/0/48
draw 48%
Kalshi 57%
active 28d
bet $192
tr/day 1.4
WR 35%
WR 7/30/all —/25/35
draw 35%
Kalshi 79%
active 0d
bet $40
tr/day 6.2
WR 64%
WR 7/30/all 71/64/64
draw 100%
Kalshi 86%
active 0d
+$133 ·2🔓
ROI +2%
Net -11%
bet $206
tr/day 1.4
WR 47%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 80%
active 0d
—
−$955 ·3🔓
ROI +25%
Net +13%
bet $136
tr/day 1.1
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all 40/42/53
draw 54%
Kalshi 74%
active 0d
+$150 ·9🔓
ROI -0%
Net -10%
bet $235
tr/day 3.5
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all 57/59/67
draw 77%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $169
tr/day 7.4
WR 54%
WR 7/30/all 63/49/54
draw 100%
Kalshi 99%
active 0d
bet $281
tr/day 0.1
WR 91%
WR 7/30/all —/—/91
draw 6%
Kalshi 26%
active 36d
bet $42
tr/day 1.0
WR 42%
WR 7/30/all —/38/42
draw 79%
Kalshi 53%
active 6d
8471
0x3f68…fc42
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $812
tr/day 0.5
WR 57%
WR 7/30/all —/—/57
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $467
tr/day 4.5
WR 46%
WR 7/30/all —/—/46
draw 100%
Kalshi 62%
active 22d
8473
0x6a64…82de
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $1,465
tr/day 0.9
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all —/—/56
draw 38%
Kalshi 80%
active 15d
bet $201
tr/day 1.3
WR 66%
WR 7/30/all —/—/66
draw 100%
Kalshi 42%
active 29d
bet $106
tr/day 0.6
WR 45%
WR 7/30/all —/56/45
draw 20%
Kalshi 58%
active 17d
bet $148
tr/day 3.4
WR 59%
WR 7/30/all —/85/59
draw 100%
Kalshi 74%
active 0d
−$249 ·6🔓
ROI +2%
Net -12%
bet $15
tr/day 3.5
WR 58%
WR 7/30/all —/71/58
draw 52%
Kalshi 54%
active 5d
bet $42
tr/day 7.1
WR 47%
WR 7/30/all 54/48/47
draw 100%
Kalshi 91%
active 0d
bet $211
tr/day 1.4
WR 28%
WR 7/30/all —/20/28
draw 100%
Kalshi 41%
active 3d
bet $115
tr/day 2.2
WR 65%
WR 7/30/all 71/52/65
draw 100%
Kalshi 57%
active 0d
+$230 ·4🔓
ROI -4%
Net -13%
bet $259
tr/day 0.1
WR 69%
WR 7/30/all —/62/69
draw 100%
Kalshi 84%
active 0d
bet $48
tr/day 2.5
WR 55%
WR 7/30/all —/100/55
draw 52%
Kalshi 79%
active 22d
8483
0x6418…db52
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche other
bet $23
tr/day 8.2
WR 29%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 44%
Kalshi 25%
active 0d
—
+$739 ·6🔓
ROI +58%
Net +32%
8484
0xcfa2…edf9
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $5,312
tr/day 0.2
WR 69%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 12d
bet $110
tr/day 0.6
WR 52%
WR 7/30/all —/17/52
draw 100%
Kalshi 64%
active 25d
bet $232
tr/day 4.5
WR 65%
WR 7/30/all —/53/65
draw 40%
Kalshi 93%
active 26d
bet $182
tr/day 0.9
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all —/40/56
draw 100%
Kalshi 51%
active 25d
bet $23
tr/day 0.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 8d
bet $84
tr/day 0.1
WR 48%
WR 7/30/all —/—/48
draw 93%
Kalshi 78%
active 26d
bet $48
tr/day 8.0
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all 53/56/53
draw 21%
Kalshi 80%
active 0d
bet $24
tr/day 0.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 8d
bet $125
tr/day 1.3
WR 40%
WR 7/30/all —/43/40
draw 57%
Kalshi 58%
active 6d
bet $27
tr/day 5.1
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/—/67
draw 44%
Kalshi 79%
active 30d
bet $601
tr/day 4.2
WR 72%
WR 7/30/all 74/72/72
draw 100%
Kalshi 99%
active 0d
+$179 ·3🔓
ROI +6%
Net -12%
bet $23
tr/day 0.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 8d
bet $38
tr/day 0.5
WR 61%
WR 7/30/all —/—/61
draw 59%
Kalshi 78%
active 16d
bet $135
tr/day 1.1
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all 36/41/50
draw 100%
Kalshi 75%
active 0d
−$265 ·5🔓
ROI -4%
Net -13%
8498
0x469f…3d4f
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $476
tr/day 17.4
WR 68%
WR 7/30/all —/55/68
draw 4%
Kalshi 99%
active 11d
bet $333
tr/day 1.1
WR 70%
WR 7/30/all —/40/70
draw 61%
Kalshi 72%
active 25d
8500
0xe407…d090
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $985
tr/day 0.9
WR 64%
WR 7/30/all —/—/64
draw 14%
Kalshi 91%
active 5d
#8451
negative
crypto
#8452
negative
crypto
#8453
negative
sports
#8454
negative
sports
#8455
negative
other
#8456
negative
sports
#8457
negative
sports
#8458
—
trap
sports
#8459
politics
#8460
negative
sports
#8461
negative
other
#8462
negative
sports
#8463
negative
sports
#8464
negative
sports
#8465
—
borderline
crypto
#8466
negative
world
#8467
negative
crypto
#8468
negative
sports
#8469
negative
other
#8470
negative
other
#8471
negative
crypto
#8472
negative
sports
#8473
negative
crypto
#8474
negative
other
#8475
negative
sports
#8476
negative
sports
#8477
negative
sports
#8478
negative
sports
#8479
negative
other
#8480
negative
sports
#8481
negative
politics
#8482
negative
sports
#8483
—
borderline
other
#8484
—
trap
sports
#8485
negative
sports
#8486
negative
sports
#8487
negative
other
#8488
negative
crypto
#8489
negative
crypto
#8490
negative
sports
#8491
negative
crypto
#8492
negative
other
#8493
negative
sports
#8494
negative
sports
#8495
negative
crypto
#8496
negative
sports
#8497
negative
sports
#8498
negative
sports
#8499
negative
other
#8500
negative
sports
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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