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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
bet $115
tr/day 1.4
WR 33%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 67%
active 30d
bet $1,801
tr/day 2.2
WR 84%
WR 7/30/all —/96/84
draw 85%
Kalshi 98%
active 2d
bet $130
tr/day 1.0
WR 48%
WR 7/30/all —/46/48
draw 100%
Kalshi 95%
active 0d
bet $75
tr/day 0.3
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all —/—/43
draw 20%
Kalshi 73%
active 31d
bet $29
tr/day 6.8
WR 38%
WR 7/30/all —/—/38
draw 44%
Kalshi 51%
active 35d
bet $343
tr/day 3.4
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all 52/59/53
draw 100%
Kalshi 55%
active 0d
bet $232
tr/day 2.4
WR 30%
WR 7/30/all —/—/30
draw 88%
Kalshi 71%
active 31d
15958
0x631a…b631
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $3,889
tr/day 1.6
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all —/—/44
draw 39%
Kalshi 65%
active 0d
+$23K ·1🔓
ROI -6%
Net -23%
bet $195
tr/day 1.2
WR 41%
WR 7/30/all —/—/41
draw 100%
Kalshi 35%
active 30d
bet $149
tr/day 3.8
WR 29%
WR 7/30/all —/7/29
draw 41%
Kalshi 89%
active 1d
+$4K ·23🔓
ROI +0%
Net -13%
bet $112
tr/day 0.9
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all 62/47/43
draw 65%
Kalshi 87%
active 0d
+$3K ·3🔓
ROI -15%
Net -23%
bet $143
tr/day 3.6
WR 65%
WR 7/30/all 61/68/65
draw 81%
Kalshi 83%
active 0d
+$738 ·1🔓
ROI +3%
Net -10%
bet $146
tr/day 1.6
WR 24%
WR 7/30/all —/—/24
draw 100%
Kalshi 73%
active 8d
−$2K ·2🔓
ROI -14%
Net -22%
bet $9
tr/day 2.4
WR 37%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 33%
active 0d
—
+$32 ·1🔓
ROI +27%
Net +15%
bet $41
tr/day 4.4
WR 60%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 35%
Kalshi 0%
active 30d
bet $330
tr/day 1.8
WR 33%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 50%
active 30d
bet $27
tr/day 1.6
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all —/50/44
draw 72%
Kalshi 26%
active 18d
bet $17
tr/day 4.4
WR 33%
WR 7/30/all 43/33/33
draw 100%
Kalshi 43%
active 0d
bet $160
tr/day 2.2
WR 12%
WR 7/30/all —/—/12
draw 17%
Kalshi 64%
active 33d
15970
0x0426…1aff
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche crypto
bet $42
tr/day 8.9
WR 90%
WR 7/30/all 86/89/90
draw 59%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $36
tr/day 3.6
WR 47%
WR 7/30/all —/50/47
draw 29%
Kalshi 37%
active 2d
bet $12
tr/day 2.0
WR 60%
WR 7/30/all —/—/60
draw 100%
Kalshi 98%
active 34d
bet $56
tr/day 3.5
WR 54%
WR 7/30/all —/—/54
draw 82%
Kalshi 88%
active 34d
bet $15
tr/day 0.3
WR 40%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 87%
Kalshi 0%
active 34d
bet $116
tr/day 0.7
WR 96%
WR 7/30/all —/100/96
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 1d
bet $112
tr/day 0.7
WR 93%
WR 7/30/all —/100/93
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 1d
bet $140
tr/day 0.5
WR 65%
WR 7/30/all —/—/65
draw 100%
Kalshi 10%
active 31d
bet $10
tr/day 4.6
WR 28%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 34%
Kalshi 67%
active 0d
—
+$578 ·170🔓
ROI +43%
Net +24%
bet $215
tr/day 0.4
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all —/60/53
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $12
tr/day 0.6
WR 48%
WR 7/30/all —/33/48
draw 100%
Kalshi 97%
active 10d
bet $4
tr/day 2.1
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all —/—/43
draw 78%
Kalshi 67%
active 28d
bet $307
tr/day 0.4
WR 17%
WR 7/30/all —/—/17
draw 100%
Kalshi 89%
active 5d
bet $274
tr/day 0.6
WR 6%
WR 7/30/all —/0/6
draw 100%
Kalshi 82%
active 3d
15984
0x9a46…0aaa
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $1,416
tr/day 0.2
WR 75%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 5%
Kalshi 75%
active 34d
bet $371
tr/day 0.6
WR 39%
WR 7/30/all —/—/39
draw 100%
Kalshi 72%
active 2d
bet $70
tr/day 1.2
WR 41%
WR 7/30/all —/—/41
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 27d
15987
0x848d…9183
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $2,550
tr/day 0.9
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 98%
active 34d
15988
0x0851…7f61
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche politics
bet $1,669
tr/day 0.1
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 34d
bet $315
tr/day 0.5
WR 15%
WR 7/30/all —/20/15
draw 100%
Kalshi 92%
active 3d
bet $406
tr/day 2.1
WR 12%
WR 7/30/all —/—/12
draw 58%
Kalshi 67%
active 33d
bet $346
tr/day 0.5
WR 12%
WR 7/30/all —/0/12
draw 100%
Kalshi 71%
active 0d
bet $101
tr/day 0.6
WR 8%
WR 7/30/all —/0/8
draw 100%
Kalshi 83%
active 11d
bet $38
tr/day 5.6
WR 31%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 76%
Kalshi 61%
active 1d
—
+$999 ·1🔓
ROI +17%
Net +1%
bet $110
tr/day 0.6
WR 9%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 82%
active 3d
15995
0xc2ae…2b6a
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche politics
bet $889
tr/day 0.3
WR 71%
WR 7/30/all 80/80/71
draw 100%
Kalshi 83%
active 3d
15996
0x1322…13d6
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $1,588
tr/day 0.1
WR 33%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 70%
active 5d
bet $437
tr/day 5.9
WR 57%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 12%
Kalshi 98%
active 0d
—
+$10K ·1🔓
ROI +36%
Net +18%
bet $132
tr/day 0.5
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all 47/48/50
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $41
tr/day 0.1
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 50%
Kalshi 88%
active 34d
bet $212
tr/day 0.8
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all 50/33/53
draw 100%
Kalshi 85%
active 5d
#15951
sports
#15952
negative
crypto
#15953
negative
sports
#15954
one-bet luck
crypto
#15955
negative
other
#15956
negative
sports
#15957
negative
politics
#15958
negative
sports
#15959
negative
other
#15960
negative
world
#15961
negative
sports
#15962
negative
sports
#15963
negative
world
#15964
—
borderline
other
#15965
other
#15966
sports
#15967
negative
other
#15968
borderline
other
#15969
negative
other
#15970
negative
crypto
#15971
negative
other
#15972
negative
sports
#15973
negative
sports
#15974
other
#15975
negative
crypto
#15976
negative
crypto
#15977
edge dead
other
#15978
—
borderline
other
#15979
negative
sports
#15980
negative
sports
#15981
negative
sports
#15982
negative
world
#15983
negative
world
#15984
crypto
#15985
negative
world
#15986
negative
crypto
#15987
negative
crypto
#15988
politics
#15989
negative
world
#15990
negative
other
#15991
negative
world
#15992
negative
world
#15993
—
trap
sports
#15994
world
#15995
negative
politics
#15996
other
#15997
—
copyable
sports
#15998
negative
sports
#15999
world
#16000
negative
sports
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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