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Threshold 5.0
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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
bet $229
tr/day 0.2
WR 40%
WR 7/30/all —/43/40
draw 3%
Kalshi 70%
active 11d
bet $12
tr/day 2.2
WR 35%
WR 7/30/all 36/35/35
draw 69%
Kalshi 36%
active 1d
+$15 ·5🔓
ROI -23%
Net -30%
16253
0x5ee2…de75
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche weather
bet $366
tr/day 11.7
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all 55/56/56
draw 100%
Kalshi 72%
active 1d
−$421 ·1🔓
ROI +5%
Net -13%
bet $467
tr/day 5.3
WR 64%
WR 7/30/all —/—/64
draw 100%
Kalshi 99%
active 19d
bet $111
tr/day 0.8
WR 40%
WR 7/30/all —/35/40
draw 57%
Kalshi 72%
active 12d
bet $209
tr/day 2.5
WR 13%
WR 7/30/all 29/14/13
draw 100%
Kalshi 58%
active 0d
bet $981
tr/day 2.2
WR 30%
WR 7/30/all —/6/30
draw 100%
Kalshi 74%
active 0d
bet $261
tr/day 0.2
WR 12%
WR 7/30/all —/—/12
draw 100%
Kalshi 82%
active 5d
bet $274
tr/day 2.9
WR 11%
WR 7/30/all 29/19/11
draw 100%
Kalshi 51%
active 0d
16260
0x0414…be21
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche politics
bet $385
tr/day 9.9
WR 29%
WR 7/30/all 22/33/29
draw 38%
Kalshi 91%
active 0d
bet $215
tr/day 2.7
WR 9%
WR 7/30/all 33/26/9
draw 100%
Kalshi 50%
active 0d
16262
0xc26c…d532
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $590
tr/day 0.1
WR 0%
WR 7/30/all —/0/0
draw 100%
Kalshi 24%
active 19d
bet $117
tr/day 4.4
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all 34/38/43
draw 100%
Kalshi 92%
active 0d
16264
0x6bf2…8336
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $866
tr/day 1.9
WR 17%
WR 7/30/all 20/6/17
draw 100%
Kalshi 69%
active 0d
bet $746
tr/day 2.0
WR 21%
WR 7/30/all 20/5/21
draw 100%
Kalshi 71%
active 0d
bet $244
tr/day 3.0
WR 10%
WR 7/30/all —/25/10
draw 100%
Kalshi 50%
active 0d
bet $217
tr/day 2.0
WR 36%
WR 7/30/all 40/33/36
draw 100%
Kalshi 93%
active 3d
bet $109
tr/day 6.0
WR 34%
WR 7/30/all —/34/34
draw 100%
Kalshi 10%
active 3d
16269
0x8b6a…0ad2
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche crypto
bet $8
tr/day 21.7
WR 68%
WR 7/30/all 64/68/68
draw 52%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $28
tr/day 0.3
WR 46%
WR 7/30/all —/50/46
draw 60%
Kalshi 66%
active 14d
bet $40
tr/day 0.4
WR 48%
WR 7/30/all —/71/48
draw 2%
Kalshi 67%
active 16d
bet $711
tr/day 2.6
WR 15%
WR 7/30/all —/6/15
draw 100%
Kalshi 72%
active 0d
bet $55
tr/day 3.8
WR 41%
WR 7/30/all 44/47/41
draw 100%
Kalshi 89%
active 0d
bet $1,004
tr/day 2.9
WR 15%
WR 7/30/all —/0/15
draw 100%
Kalshi 71%
active 0d
bet $34
tr/day 0.2
WR 41%
WR 7/30/all —/67/41
draw 14%
Kalshi 69%
active 15d
16276
0x898b…560d
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche politics
bet $735
tr/day 0.1
WR 65%
WR 7/30/all —/60/65
draw 2%
Kalshi 79%
active 12d
bet $27
tr/day 0.2
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all —/62/43
draw 26%
Kalshi 64%
active 16d
bet $1,760
tr/day 4.2
WR 16%
WR 7/30/all —/9/16
draw 100%
Kalshi 66%
active 6d
bet $26
tr/day 0.2
WR 52%
WR 7/30/all —/40/52
draw 74%
Kalshi 71%
active 11d
16280
0xf3de…6fe8
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $1,712
tr/day 42.7
WR 88%
WR 7/30/all 77/85/88
draw 85%
Kalshi 97%
active 0d
bet $282
tr/day 0.1
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all —/100/98
draw 100%
Kalshi 95%
active 15d
bet $166
tr/day 2.5
WR 9%
WR 7/30/all 14/12/9
draw 100%
Kalshi 52%
active 0d
bet $27
tr/day 0.5
WR 28%
WR 7/30/all —/38/28
draw 74%
Kalshi 79%
active 13d
16284
0xf34b…bcb3
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $194
tr/day 18.0
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all 78/50/56
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
−$244 ·3🔓
ROI +6%
Net -12%
16285
0x9b29…4f2c
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche crypto
bet $61
tr/day 55.0
WR 64%
WR 7/30/all 64/64/64
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $225
tr/day 2.6
WR 8%
WR 7/30/all 17/12/8
draw 100%
Kalshi 52%
active 0d
bet $156
tr/day 2.6
WR 11%
WR 7/30/all 33/15/11
draw 100%
Kalshi 58%
active 0d
bet $625
tr/day 2.3
WR 17%
WR 7/30/all —/33/17
draw 48%
Kalshi 100%
active 8d
bet $25
tr/day 0.3
WR 41%
WR 7/30/all —/41/41
draw 100%
Kalshi 66%
active 16d
bet $128
tr/day 3.5
WR 37%
WR 7/30/all 39/50/37
draw 100%
Kalshi 98%
active 0d
−$836 ·1🔓
ROI -11%
Net -22%
bet $1,454
tr/day 3.4
WR 18%
WR 7/30/all —/3/18
draw 27%
Kalshi 72%
active 8d
bet $214
tr/day 0.1
WR 9%
WR 7/30/all —/—/9
draw 100%
Kalshi 61%
active 4d
bet $20
tr/day 0.2
WR 62%
WR 7/30/all —/—/62
draw 27%
Kalshi 67%
active 15d
bet $2,137
tr/day 7.7
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all 56/50/50
draw 100%
Kalshi 62%
active 2d
+$11K ·2🔓
ROI +58%
Net +32%
bet $26
tr/day 0.2
WR 52%
WR 7/30/all —/57/52
draw 8%
Kalshi 76%
active 15d
bet $262
tr/day 0.1
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all —/100/98
draw 100%
Kalshi 98%
active 15d
16297
0x17eb…71a0
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche crypto
bet $298
tr/day 15.7
WR 87%
WR 7/30/all —/87/87
draw 19%
Kalshi 100%
active 14d
bet $263
tr/day 2.9
WR 14%
WR 7/30/all 29/11/14
draw 100%
Kalshi 54%
active 0d
bet $21
tr/day 4.7
WR 25%
WR 7/30/all 38/25/25
draw 100%
Kalshi 42%
active 0d
+$259 ·3🔓
ROI -5%
Net -17%
bet $182
tr/day 1.7
WR 40%
WR 7/30/all 27/36/40
draw 100%
Kalshi 91%
active 0d
#16251
negative
crypto
#16252
negative
other
#16253
negative
weather
#16254
negative
sports
#16255
trap
world
#16256
negative
other
#16257
negative
politics
#16258
negative
politics
#16259
negative
other
#16260
negative
politics
#16261
negative
other
#16262
negative
other
#16263
negative
sports
#16264
negative
other
#16265
negative
other
#16266
negative
other
#16267
negative
sports
#16268
negative
other
#16269
negative
crypto
#16270
fragile wins
world
#16271
one-bet luck
world
#16272
negative
politics
#16273
negative
sports
#16274
negative
politics
#16275
negative
world
#16276
negative
politics
#16277
negative
other
#16278
negative
other
#16279
negative
world
#16280
negative
sports
#16281
negative
crypto
#16282
negative
other
#16283
negative
world
#16284
negative
sports
#16285
—
bot
crypto
#16286
negative
other
#16287
negative
other
#16288
one-bet luck
world
#16289
negative
world
#16290
negative
sports
#16291
negative
politics
#16292
negative
other
#16293
fragile wins
world
#16294
unreliable
sports
#16295
negative
world
#16296
negative
crypto
#16297
negative
crypto
#16298
negative
other
#16299
negative
other
#16300
negative
crypto
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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