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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
bet $136
tr/day 3.3
WR 57%
WR 7/30/all —/71/57
draw 100%
Kalshi 88%
active 0d
−$418 ·16🔓
ROI -8%
Net -20%
bet $107
tr/day 6.2
WR 62%
WR 7/30/all 60/56/62
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
15853
0xefcd…ef28
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche crypto
bet $145
tr/day 28.4
WR 78%
WR 7/30/all 98/91/78
draw 92%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $62
tr/day 0.6
WR 47%
WR 7/30/all —/47/47
draw 82%
Kalshi 67%
active 11d
bet $20
tr/day 0.6
WR 37%
WR 7/30/all —/43/37
draw 32%
Kalshi 71%
active 11d
bet $854
tr/day 2.3
WR 11%
WR 7/30/all —/6/11
draw 100%
Kalshi 58%
active 1d
15857
0x72df…f8ea
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche politics
bet $723
tr/day 1.4
WR 16%
WR 7/30/all —/6/16
draw 100%
Kalshi 66%
active 0d
bet $95
tr/day 0.7
WR 29%
WR 7/30/all —/59/29
draw 100%
Kalshi 86%
active 8d
15859
0x767e…98ca
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $40
tr/day 20.8
WR 70%
WR 7/30/all 71/70/70
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
+$110 ·10🔓
ROI -5%
Net -27%
bet $91
tr/day 3.2
WR 52%
WR 7/30/all 45/45/52
draw 68%
Kalshi 99%
active 0d
bet $74
tr/day 2.4
WR 37%
WR 7/30/all 31/34/37
draw 71%
Kalshi 69%
active 4d
15862
0x1b90…8cdc
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $641
tr/day 0.7
WR 26%
WR 7/30/all —/18/26
draw 100%
Kalshi 59%
active 1d
−$1K ·6🔓
ROI -27%
Net -36%
bet $884
tr/day 3.0
WR 20%
WR 7/30/all —/4/20
draw 29%
Kalshi 67%
active 0d
bet $1,411
tr/day 2.7
WR 19%
WR 7/30/all 20/5/19
draw 100%
Kalshi 69%
active 4d
15865
0xecfa…7fe0
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche crypto
bet $152
tr/day 29.3
WR 87%
WR 7/30/all 91/89/87
draw 32%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $2,026
tr/day 4.0
WR 16%
WR 7/30/all 20/6/16
draw 100%
Kalshi 65%
active 6d
15867
0xdab8…fabd
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche politics
bet $818
tr/day 2.0
WR 20%
WR 7/30/all 20/6/20
draw 100%
Kalshi 70%
active 0d
15868
0xf7c2…9b8d
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $1,218
tr/day 29.2
WR 41%
WR 7/30/all 16/33/41
draw 89%
Kalshi 90%
active 0d
+$125K ·5🔓
ROI -11%
Net -34%
bet $91
tr/day 1.0
WR 84%
WR 7/30/all —/—/84
draw 2%
Kalshi 79%
active 19d
15870
0x23ee…e453
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $612
tr/day 1.8
WR 18%
WR 7/30/all —/6/18
draw 100%
Kalshi 66%
active 0d
bet $48
tr/day 0.1
WR 74%
WR 7/30/all —/—/74
draw 100%
Kalshi 91%
active 10d
bet $392
tr/day 8.0
WR 42%
WR 7/30/all —/42/42
draw 100%
Kalshi 52%
active 6d
15873
0xeb3a…34ac
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche crypto
bet $1,305
tr/day 22.9
WR 99%
WR 7/30/all —/100/99
draw 0%
Kalshi 84%
active 15d
bet $230
tr/day 2.9
WR 9%
WR 7/30/all 40/13/9
draw 100%
Kalshi 53%
active 0d
bet $20
tr/day 0.7
WR 27%
WR 7/30/all —/14/27
draw 33%
Kalshi 66%
active 16d
bet $229
tr/day 0.2
WR 40%
WR 7/30/all —/43/40
draw 3%
Kalshi 70%
active 11d
bet $12
tr/day 2.2
WR 35%
WR 7/30/all 36/35/35
draw 69%
Kalshi 36%
active 1d
+$15 ·5🔓
ROI -23%
Net -30%
15878
0x5ee2…de75
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche weather
bet $366
tr/day 11.7
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all 55/56/56
draw 100%
Kalshi 72%
active 1d
−$421 ·1🔓
ROI +5%
Net -13%
bet $467
tr/day 5.3
WR 64%
WR 7/30/all —/—/64
draw 100%
Kalshi 99%
active 19d
bet $111
tr/day 0.8
WR 40%
WR 7/30/all —/35/40
draw 57%
Kalshi 72%
active 12d
bet $209
tr/day 2.5
WR 13%
WR 7/30/all 29/14/13
draw 100%
Kalshi 58%
active 0d
bet $981
tr/day 2.2
WR 30%
WR 7/30/all —/6/30
draw 100%
Kalshi 74%
active 0d
bet $261
tr/day 0.2
WR 12%
WR 7/30/all —/—/12
draw 100%
Kalshi 82%
active 5d
bet $274
tr/day 2.9
WR 11%
WR 7/30/all 29/19/11
draw 100%
Kalshi 51%
active 0d
15885
0x0414…be21
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche politics
bet $385
tr/day 9.9
WR 29%
WR 7/30/all 22/33/29
draw 38%
Kalshi 91%
active 0d
bet $215
tr/day 2.7
WR 9%
WR 7/30/all 33/26/9
draw 100%
Kalshi 50%
active 0d
15887
0xc26c…d532
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $590
tr/day 0.1
WR 0%
WR 7/30/all —/0/0
draw 100%
Kalshi 24%
active 19d
15888
0x6bf2…8336
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $866
tr/day 1.9
WR 17%
WR 7/30/all 20/6/17
draw 100%
Kalshi 69%
active 0d
bet $746
tr/day 2.0
WR 21%
WR 7/30/all 20/5/21
draw 100%
Kalshi 71%
active 0d
bet $244
tr/day 3.0
WR 10%
WR 7/30/all —/25/10
draw 100%
Kalshi 50%
active 0d
bet $217
tr/day 2.0
WR 36%
WR 7/30/all 40/33/36
draw 100%
Kalshi 93%
active 3d
bet $109
tr/day 6.0
WR 34%
WR 7/30/all —/34/34
draw 100%
Kalshi 10%
active 3d
15893
0x8b6a…0ad2
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche crypto
bet $8
tr/day 21.7
WR 68%
WR 7/30/all 64/68/68
draw 52%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $28
tr/day 0.3
WR 46%
WR 7/30/all —/50/46
draw 60%
Kalshi 66%
active 14d
bet $40
tr/day 0.4
WR 48%
WR 7/30/all —/71/48
draw 2%
Kalshi 67%
active 16d
bet $711
tr/day 2.6
WR 15%
WR 7/30/all —/6/15
draw 100%
Kalshi 72%
active 0d
bet $55
tr/day 3.8
WR 41%
WR 7/30/all 44/47/41
draw 100%
Kalshi 89%
active 0d
bet $1,004
tr/day 2.9
WR 15%
WR 7/30/all —/0/15
draw 100%
Kalshi 71%
active 0d
bet $34
tr/day 0.2
WR 41%
WR 7/30/all —/67/41
draw 14%
Kalshi 69%
active 15d
15900
0x898b…560d
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche politics
bet $735
tr/day 0.1
WR 65%
WR 7/30/all —/60/65
draw 2%
Kalshi 79%
active 12d
#15851
negative
world
#15852
negative
weather
#15853
negative
crypto
#15854
trap
world
#15855
negative
other
#15856
negative
other
#15857
negative
politics
#15858
negative
sports
#15859
negative
sports
#15860
negative
sports
#15861
negative
sports
#15862
negative
other
#15863
negative
other
#15864
negative
politics
#15865
negative
crypto
#15866
negative
other
#15867
negative
politics
#15868
unreliable
sports
#15869
negative
crypto
#15870
negative
other
#15871
negative
sports
#15872
negative
other
#15873
negative
crypto
#15874
negative
other
#15875
negative
other
#15876
negative
crypto
#15877
negative
other
#15878
negative
weather
#15879
negative
sports
#15880
trap
world
#15881
negative
other
#15882
negative
politics
#15883
negative
politics
#15884
negative
other
#15885
negative
politics
#15886
negative
other
#15887
negative
other
#15888
negative
other
#15889
negative
other
#15890
negative
other
#15891
negative
sports
#15892
negative
other
#15893
negative
crypto
#15894
fragile wins
world
#15895
one-bet luck
world
#15896
negative
politics
#15897
negative
sports
#15898
negative
politics
#15899
negative
world
#15900
negative
politics
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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