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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
bet $15
tr/day 2.3
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all 21/47/44
draw 100%
Kalshi 68%
active 2d
bet $31
tr/day 4.9
WR 75%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 0%
active 19d
bet $192
tr/day 6.5
WR 54%
WR 7/30/all 30/46/54
draw 100%
Kalshi 78%
active 3d
bet $219
tr/day 0.3
WR 36%
WR 7/30/all —/36/36
draw 100%
Kalshi 72%
active 8d
+$1K ·1🔓
ROI -10%
Net -18%
bet $295
tr/day 8.0
WR 48%
WR 7/30/all —/49/48
draw 100%
Kalshi 94%
active 13d
bet $147
tr/day 2.2
WR 33%
WR 7/30/all 23/29/33
draw 100%
Kalshi 71%
active 0d
−$293 ·3🔓
ROI -10%
Net -19%
19007
0x1e1f…7661
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $55
tr/day 8.8
WR 54%
WR 7/30/all 59/52/54
draw 84%
Kalshi 94%
active 0d
+$433 ·1🔓
ROI +2%
Net -15%
bet $17
tr/day 0.2
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all —/22/56
draw 13%
Kalshi 59%
active 14d
bet $142
tr/day 3.3
WR 58%
WR 7/30/all 60/72/58
draw 100%
Kalshi 89%
active 0d
−$319 ·15🔓
ROI -7%
Net -19%
bet $107
tr/day 6.2
WR 62%
WR 7/30/all 60/56/62
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $62
tr/day 0.6
WR 47%
WR 7/30/all —/47/47
draw 82%
Kalshi 67%
active 11d
bet $20
tr/day 0.6
WR 37%
WR 7/30/all —/43/37
draw 32%
Kalshi 71%
active 11d
bet $841
tr/day 2.3
WR 10%
WR 7/30/all 0/5/10
draw 100%
Kalshi 59%
active 0d
19014
0x72df…f8ea
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche politics
bet $723
tr/day 1.4
WR 16%
WR 7/30/all —/6/16
draw 100%
Kalshi 66%
active 0d
bet $95
tr/day 0.7
WR 29%
WR 7/30/all —/59/29
draw 100%
Kalshi 86%
active 8d
19016
0x767e…98ca
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $41
tr/day 22.8
WR 70%
WR 7/30/all 77/70/70
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
+$475 ·29🔓
ROI -4%
Net -26%
bet $74
tr/day 2.4
WR 37%
WR 7/30/all 31/34/37
draw 71%
Kalshi 69%
active 4d
bet $884
tr/day 3.0
WR 20%
WR 7/30/all —/4/20
draw 29%
Kalshi 67%
active 0d
bet $1,411
tr/day 2.7
WR 19%
WR 7/30/all 20/5/19
draw 100%
Kalshi 69%
active 4d
bet $2,026
tr/day 4.0
WR 16%
WR 7/30/all 20/6/16
draw 100%
Kalshi 65%
active 6d
19021
0xdab8…fabd
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche politics
bet $818
tr/day 2.0
WR 20%
WR 7/30/all 20/6/20
draw 100%
Kalshi 70%
active 0d
19022
0xf7c2…9b8d
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $1,218
tr/day 29.2
WR 41%
WR 7/30/all 16/33/41
draw 89%
Kalshi 90%
active 0d
+$125K ·5🔓
ROI -11%
Net -34%
bet $91
tr/day 1.0
WR 84%
WR 7/30/all —/—/84
draw 2%
Kalshi 79%
active 19d
19024
0x23ee…e453
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $605
tr/day 1.8
WR 17%
WR 7/30/all —/6/17
draw 100%
Kalshi 67%
active 1d
bet $48
tr/day 0.1
WR 74%
WR 7/30/all —/—/74
draw 100%
Kalshi 91%
active 10d
bet $392
tr/day 8.0
WR 42%
WR 7/30/all —/42/42
draw 100%
Kalshi 52%
active 6d
19027
0xeb3a…34ac
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche crypto
bet $1,305
tr/day 22.9
WR 99%
WR 7/30/all —/100/99
draw 0%
Kalshi 84%
active 15d
bet $230
tr/day 2.9
WR 9%
WR 7/30/all 40/13/9
draw 100%
Kalshi 53%
active 0d
bet $20
tr/day 0.7
WR 27%
WR 7/30/all —/14/27
draw 33%
Kalshi 66%
active 16d
bet $229
tr/day 0.2
WR 40%
WR 7/30/all —/43/40
draw 3%
Kalshi 70%
active 11d
bet $12
tr/day 2.2
WR 35%
WR 7/30/all 36/35/35
draw 69%
Kalshi 36%
active 1d
+$15 ·5🔓
ROI -23%
Net -30%
19032
0x5ee2…de75
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche weather
bet $366
tr/day 11.7
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all 55/56/56
draw 100%
Kalshi 72%
active 1d
−$421 ·1🔓
ROI +5%
Net -13%
bet $467
tr/day 5.3
WR 64%
WR 7/30/all —/—/64
draw 100%
Kalshi 99%
active 19d
bet $111
tr/day 0.8
WR 40%
WR 7/30/all —/35/40
draw 57%
Kalshi 72%
active 12d
bet $209
tr/day 2.5
WR 13%
WR 7/30/all 29/14/13
draw 100%
Kalshi 58%
active 0d
bet $981
tr/day 2.2
WR 30%
WR 7/30/all —/6/30
draw 100%
Kalshi 74%
active 0d
bet $261
tr/day 0.2
WR 12%
WR 7/30/all —/—/12
draw 100%
Kalshi 82%
active 5d
bet $274
tr/day 2.9
WR 11%
WR 7/30/all 29/19/11
draw 100%
Kalshi 51%
active 0d
19039
0x0414…be21
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche politics
bet $416
tr/day 9.9
WR 28%
WR 7/30/all 25/32/28
draw 38%
Kalshi 91%
active 0d
bet $215
tr/day 2.7
WR 9%
WR 7/30/all 33/26/9
draw 100%
Kalshi 50%
active 0d
19041
0xc26c…d532
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $590
tr/day 0.1
WR 0%
WR 7/30/all —/0/0
draw 100%
Kalshi 24%
active 19d
19042
0x6bf2…8336
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $866
tr/day 1.9
WR 17%
WR 7/30/all 20/6/17
draw 100%
Kalshi 69%
active 0d
bet $746
tr/day 2.0
WR 21%
WR 7/30/all 20/5/21
draw 100%
Kalshi 71%
active 0d
bet $244
tr/day 3.0
WR 10%
WR 7/30/all —/25/10
draw 100%
Kalshi 50%
active 0d
bet $217
tr/day 2.0
WR 36%
WR 7/30/all 40/33/36
draw 100%
Kalshi 93%
active 3d
bet $109
tr/day 6.0
WR 34%
WR 7/30/all —/34/34
draw 100%
Kalshi 10%
active 3d
19047
0x8b6a…0ad2
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche crypto
bet $8
tr/day 21.7
WR 68%
WR 7/30/all 64/68/68
draw 52%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $28
tr/day 0.3
WR 46%
WR 7/30/all —/50/46
draw 60%
Kalshi 66%
active 14d
bet $40
tr/day 0.4
WR 48%
WR 7/30/all —/71/48
draw 2%
Kalshi 67%
active 16d
bet $711
tr/day 2.6
WR 15%
WR 7/30/all —/6/15
draw 100%
Kalshi 72%
active 0d
#19001
negative
sports
#19002
other
#19003
negative
world
#19004
negative
sports
#19005
negative
sports
#19006
negative
crypto
#19007
negative
sports
#19008
negative
other
#19009
negative
world
#19010
negative
weather
#19011
trap
world
#19012
negative
other
#19013
negative
other
#19014
negative
politics
#19015
negative
sports
#19016
negative
sports
#19017
negative
sports
#19018
negative
other
#19019
negative
politics
#19020
negative
other
#19021
negative
politics
#19022
unreliable
sports
#19023
negative
crypto
#19024
negative
other
#19025
negative
sports
#19026
negative
other
#19027
negative
crypto
#19028
negative
other
#19029
negative
other
#19030
negative
crypto
#19031
negative
other
#19032
negative
weather
#19033
negative
sports
#19034
trap
world
#19035
negative
other
#19036
negative
politics
#19037
negative
politics
#19038
negative
other
#19039
negative
politics
#19040
negative
other
#19041
negative
other
#19042
negative
other
#19043
negative
other
#19044
negative
other
#19045
negative
sports
#19046
negative
other
#19047
negative
crypto
#19048
fragile wins
world
#19049
one-bet luck
world
#19050
negative
politics
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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