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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
bet $17
tr/day 0.2
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all —/22/56
draw 13%
Kalshi 59%
active 14d
bet $142
tr/day 3.3
WR 58%
WR 7/30/all 60/72/58
draw 100%
Kalshi 89%
active 0d
−$319 ·15🔓
ROI -7%
Net -19%
bet $107
tr/day 6.2
WR 62%
WR 7/30/all 60/56/62
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $62
tr/day 0.6
WR 47%
WR 7/30/all —/47/47
draw 82%
Kalshi 67%
active 11d
bet $20
tr/day 0.6
WR 37%
WR 7/30/all —/43/37
draw 32%
Kalshi 71%
active 11d
bet $841
tr/day 2.3
WR 10%
WR 7/30/all 0/5/10
draw 100%
Kalshi 59%
active 0d
18557
0x72df…f8ea
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche politics
bet $723
tr/day 1.4
WR 16%
WR 7/30/all —/6/16
draw 100%
Kalshi 66%
active 0d
bet $95
tr/day 0.7
WR 29%
WR 7/30/all —/59/29
draw 100%
Kalshi 86%
active 8d
18559
0x767e…98ca
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $41
tr/day 22.8
WR 70%
WR 7/30/all 77/70/70
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
+$475 ·29🔓
ROI -4%
Net -26%
bet $74
tr/day 2.4
WR 37%
WR 7/30/all 31/34/37
draw 71%
Kalshi 69%
active 4d
18561
0x1b90…8cdc
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $641
tr/day 0.7
WR 26%
WR 7/30/all —/18/26
draw 100%
Kalshi 59%
active 1d
−$1K ·6🔓
ROI -27%
Net -36%
bet $884
tr/day 3.0
WR 20%
WR 7/30/all —/4/20
draw 29%
Kalshi 67%
active 0d
bet $1,411
tr/day 2.7
WR 19%
WR 7/30/all 20/5/19
draw 100%
Kalshi 69%
active 4d
bet $2,026
tr/day 4.0
WR 16%
WR 7/30/all 20/6/16
draw 100%
Kalshi 65%
active 6d
18565
0xdab8…fabd
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche politics
bet $818
tr/day 2.0
WR 20%
WR 7/30/all 20/6/20
draw 100%
Kalshi 70%
active 0d
18566
0xf7c2…9b8d
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $1,218
tr/day 29.2
WR 41%
WR 7/30/all 16/33/41
draw 89%
Kalshi 90%
active 0d
+$125K ·5🔓
ROI -11%
Net -34%
bet $91
tr/day 1.0
WR 84%
WR 7/30/all —/—/84
draw 2%
Kalshi 79%
active 19d
18568
0x23ee…e453
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $605
tr/day 1.8
WR 17%
WR 7/30/all —/6/17
draw 100%
Kalshi 67%
active 1d
bet $48
tr/day 0.1
WR 74%
WR 7/30/all —/—/74
draw 100%
Kalshi 91%
active 10d
bet $392
tr/day 8.0
WR 42%
WR 7/30/all —/42/42
draw 100%
Kalshi 52%
active 6d
18571
0xeb3a…34ac
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche crypto
bet $1,305
tr/day 22.9
WR 99%
WR 7/30/all —/100/99
draw 0%
Kalshi 84%
active 15d
bet $230
tr/day 2.9
WR 9%
WR 7/30/all 40/13/9
draw 100%
Kalshi 53%
active 0d
bet $20
tr/day 0.7
WR 27%
WR 7/30/all —/14/27
draw 33%
Kalshi 66%
active 16d
bet $229
tr/day 0.2
WR 40%
WR 7/30/all —/43/40
draw 3%
Kalshi 70%
active 11d
bet $12
tr/day 2.2
WR 35%
WR 7/30/all 36/35/35
draw 69%
Kalshi 36%
active 1d
+$15 ·5🔓
ROI -23%
Net -30%
18576
0x5ee2…de75
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche weather
bet $366
tr/day 11.7
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all 55/56/56
draw 100%
Kalshi 72%
active 1d
−$421 ·1🔓
ROI +5%
Net -13%
bet $467
tr/day 5.3
WR 64%
WR 7/30/all —/—/64
draw 100%
Kalshi 99%
active 19d
bet $111
tr/day 0.8
WR 40%
WR 7/30/all —/35/40
draw 57%
Kalshi 72%
active 12d
bet $209
tr/day 2.5
WR 13%
WR 7/30/all 29/14/13
draw 100%
Kalshi 58%
active 0d
bet $981
tr/day 2.2
WR 30%
WR 7/30/all —/6/30
draw 100%
Kalshi 74%
active 0d
bet $261
tr/day 0.2
WR 12%
WR 7/30/all —/—/12
draw 100%
Kalshi 82%
active 5d
bet $274
tr/day 2.9
WR 11%
WR 7/30/all 29/19/11
draw 100%
Kalshi 51%
active 0d
18583
0x0414…be21
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche politics
bet $416
tr/day 9.9
WR 28%
WR 7/30/all 25/32/28
draw 38%
Kalshi 91%
active 0d
bet $215
tr/day 2.7
WR 9%
WR 7/30/all 33/26/9
draw 100%
Kalshi 50%
active 0d
18585
0xc26c…d532
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $590
tr/day 0.1
WR 0%
WR 7/30/all —/0/0
draw 100%
Kalshi 24%
active 19d
18586
0x6bf2…8336
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $866
tr/day 1.9
WR 17%
WR 7/30/all 20/6/17
draw 100%
Kalshi 69%
active 0d
bet $746
tr/day 2.0
WR 21%
WR 7/30/all 20/5/21
draw 100%
Kalshi 71%
active 0d
bet $244
tr/day 3.0
WR 10%
WR 7/30/all —/25/10
draw 100%
Kalshi 50%
active 0d
bet $217
tr/day 2.0
WR 36%
WR 7/30/all 40/33/36
draw 100%
Kalshi 93%
active 3d
bet $109
tr/day 6.0
WR 34%
WR 7/30/all —/34/34
draw 100%
Kalshi 10%
active 3d
18591
0x8b6a…0ad2
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche crypto
bet $8
tr/day 21.7
WR 68%
WR 7/30/all 64/68/68
draw 52%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $28
tr/day 0.3
WR 46%
WR 7/30/all —/50/46
draw 60%
Kalshi 66%
active 14d
bet $40
tr/day 0.4
WR 48%
WR 7/30/all —/71/48
draw 2%
Kalshi 67%
active 16d
bet $711
tr/day 2.6
WR 15%
WR 7/30/all —/6/15
draw 100%
Kalshi 72%
active 0d
bet $55
tr/day 3.8
WR 41%
WR 7/30/all 45/46/41
draw 100%
Kalshi 90%
active 0d
bet $1,004
tr/day 2.9
WR 15%
WR 7/30/all —/0/15
draw 100%
Kalshi 71%
active 0d
bet $34
tr/day 0.2
WR 41%
WR 7/30/all —/67/41
draw 14%
Kalshi 69%
active 15d
18598
0x898b…560d
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche politics
bet $735
tr/day 0.1
WR 65%
WR 7/30/all —/60/65
draw 2%
Kalshi 79%
active 12d
bet $27
tr/day 0.2
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all —/62/43
draw 26%
Kalshi 64%
active 16d
bet $1,760
tr/day 4.2
WR 16%
WR 7/30/all —/9/16
draw 100%
Kalshi 66%
active 6d
#18551
negative
other
#18552
negative
world
#18553
negative
weather
#18554
trap
world
#18555
negative
other
#18556
negative
other
#18557
negative
politics
#18558
negative
sports
#18559
negative
sports
#18560
negative
sports
#18561
negative
other
#18562
negative
other
#18563
negative
politics
#18564
negative
other
#18565
negative
politics
#18566
unreliable
sports
#18567
negative
crypto
#18568
negative
other
#18569
negative
sports
#18570
negative
other
#18571
negative
crypto
#18572
negative
other
#18573
negative
other
#18574
negative
crypto
#18575
negative
other
#18576
negative
weather
#18577
negative
sports
#18578
trap
world
#18579
negative
other
#18580
negative
politics
#18581
negative
politics
#18582
negative
other
#18583
negative
politics
#18584
negative
other
#18585
negative
other
#18586
negative
other
#18587
negative
other
#18588
negative
other
#18589
negative
sports
#18590
negative
other
#18591
negative
crypto
#18592
fragile wins
world
#18593
one-bet luck
world
#18594
negative
politics
#18595
negative
sports
#18596
negative
politics
#18597
negative
world
#18598
negative
politics
#18599
negative
other
#18600
negative
other
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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