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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
bet $225
tr/day 2.6
WR 8%
WR 7/30/all 17/12/8
draw 100%
Kalshi 52%
active 0d
bet $156
tr/day 2.6
WR 11%
WR 7/30/all 33/15/11
draw 100%
Kalshi 58%
active 0d
bet $625
tr/day 2.3
WR 17%
WR 7/30/all —/33/17
draw 48%
Kalshi 100%
active 8d
bet $25
tr/day 0.3
WR 41%
WR 7/30/all —/41/41
draw 100%
Kalshi 66%
active 16d
bet $128
tr/day 3.5
WR 37%
WR 7/30/all 39/50/37
draw 100%
Kalshi 98%
active 0d
−$836 ·1🔓
ROI -11%
Net -22%
bet $1,454
tr/day 3.4
WR 18%
WR 7/30/all —/3/18
draw 27%
Kalshi 72%
active 8d
bet $214
tr/day 0.1
WR 9%
WR 7/30/all —/—/9
draw 100%
Kalshi 61%
active 4d
bet $20
tr/day 0.2
WR 62%
WR 7/30/all —/—/62
draw 27%
Kalshi 67%
active 15d
bet $2,137
tr/day 7.7
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all 56/50/50
draw 100%
Kalshi 62%
active 2d
+$11K ·2🔓
ROI +58%
Net +32%
bet $26
tr/day 0.2
WR 52%
WR 7/30/all —/57/52
draw 8%
Kalshi 76%
active 15d
bet $262
tr/day 0.1
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all —/100/98
draw 100%
Kalshi 98%
active 15d
15912
0x17eb…71a0
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche crypto
bet $298
tr/day 15.7
WR 87%
WR 7/30/all —/87/87
draw 19%
Kalshi 100%
active 14d
bet $263
tr/day 2.9
WR 14%
WR 7/30/all 29/11/14
draw 100%
Kalshi 54%
active 0d
bet $21
tr/day 4.7
WR 25%
WR 7/30/all 38/25/25
draw 100%
Kalshi 42%
active 0d
+$259 ·3🔓
ROI -5%
Net -17%
bet $182
tr/day 1.7
WR 40%
WR 7/30/all 27/36/40
draw 100%
Kalshi 91%
active 0d
bet $160
tr/day 2.6
WR 10%
WR 7/30/all 17/6/10
draw 100%
Kalshi 56%
active 0d
bet $206
tr/day 1.1
WR 77%
WR 7/30/all 60/60/77
draw 100%
Kalshi 76%
active 0d
−$407 ·1🔓
ROI -2%
Net -12%
15918
0x63e5…9797
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $919
tr/day 0.8
WR 46%
WR 7/30/all —/50/46
draw 100%
Kalshi 96%
active 11d
−$13 ·1🔓
ROI -54%
Net -60%
bet $236
tr/day 2.5
WR 36%
WR 7/30/all 18/35/36
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 1d
15920
0x7bb8…46e6
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $888
tr/day 0.7
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all —/46/44
draw 100%
Kalshi 96%
active 10d
−$12 ·1🔓
ROI -55%
Net -61%
15921
0x91ff…ecb6
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $888
tr/day 0.7
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all —/46/44
draw 100%
Kalshi 96%
active 10d
−$14 ·1🔓
ROI -55%
Net -61%
15922
0xe2d5…4bdd
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $891
tr/day 0.7
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all —/46/44
draw 100%
Kalshi 96%
active 10d
−$18 ·1🔓
ROI -55%
Net -61%
bet $35
tr/day 4.5
WR 47%
WR 7/30/all —/47/47
draw 63%
Kalshi 59%
active 12d
bet $3,762
tr/day 3.5
WR 29%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 57%
active 14d
bet $106
tr/day 4.3
WR 47%
WR 7/30/all —/48/47
draw 100%
Kalshi 96%
active 15d
15926
0x5aa4…16e3
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $280
tr/day 37.5
WR 45%
WR 7/30/all 54/40/45
draw 100%
Kalshi 96%
active 0d
bet $43
tr/day 2.8
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all 44/53/53
draw 100%
Kalshi 43%
active 1d
bet $234
tr/day 3.4
WR 60%
WR 7/30/all —/67/60
draw 100%
Kalshi 55%
active 19d
bet $674
tr/day 5.9
WR 42%
WR 7/30/all —/42/42
draw 100%
Kalshi 94%
active 10d
15930
0x1940…0ea1
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche other
bet $272
tr/day 23.2
WR 89%
WR 7/30/all 86/89/89
draw 100%
Kalshi 46%
active 0d
+$388 ·12🔓
ROI +42%
Net +9%
bet $225
tr/day 3.3
WR 35%
WR 7/30/all 57/39/35
draw 100%
Kalshi 64%
active 2d
bet $1,384
tr/day 3.4
WR 68%
WR 7/30/all 71/60/68
draw 100%
Kalshi 97%
active 0d
bet $351
tr/day 4.8
WR 48%
WR 7/30/all 33/49/48
draw 100%
Kalshi 98%
active 0d
−$11K ·1🔓
ROI -6%
Net -18%
15934
0x040b…f11a
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche world
bet $502
tr/day 0.3
WR 40%
WR 7/30/all —/64/40
draw 100%
Kalshi 87%
active 3d
−$3K ·1🔓
ROI -29%
Net -36%
15935
0xbe80…0784
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $1,880
tr/day 1.0
WR 40%
WR 7/30/all 45/50/40
draw 100%
Kalshi 62%
active 0d
−$7K ·1🔓
ROI -16%
Net -27%
15936
0x8f93…bffa
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $229
tr/day 44.3
WR 59%
WR 7/30/all —/58/59
draw 100%
Kalshi 98%
active 11d
bet $235
tr/day 4.9
WR 89%
WR 7/30/all —/80/89
draw 100%
Kalshi 87%
active 6d
15938
0x9453…6952
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $323
tr/day 11.7
WR 49%
WR 7/30/all —/41/49
draw 100%
Kalshi 68%
active 11d
bet $20
tr/day 0.3
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all —/42/53
draw 19%
Kalshi 62%
active 12d
bet $202
tr/day 2.2
WR 39%
WR 7/30/all 100/39/39
draw 100%
Kalshi 96%
active 1d
bet $281
tr/day 1.3
WR 27%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 9%
active 0d
bet $553
tr/day 7.7
WR 41%
WR 7/30/all 47/41/41
draw 100%
Kalshi 60%
active 0d
−$2K ·1🔓
ROI -15%
Net -29%
bet $110
tr/day 3.8
WR 58%
WR 7/30/all —/27/58
draw 100%
Kalshi 99%
active 17d
bet $312
tr/day 3.2
WR 51%
WR 7/30/all —/57/51
draw 100%
Kalshi 98%
active 17d
bet $22
tr/day 1.1
WR 49%
WR 7/30/all —/50/49
draw 100%
Kalshi 45%
active 5d
bet $158
tr/day 1.2
WR 33%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 0%
active 0d
bet $187
tr/day 3.7
WR 42%
WR 7/30/all —/42/42
draw 100%
Kalshi 23%
active 11d
bet $38
tr/day 2.5
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all 20/43/43
draw 100%
Kalshi 30%
active 1d
bet $20
tr/day 0.2
WR 47%
WR 7/30/all —/14/47
draw 22%
Kalshi 68%
active 16d
bet $296
tr/day 2.9
WR 25%
WR 7/30/all 10/25/25
draw 100%
Kalshi 62%
active 0d
−$4K ·1🔓
ROI -18%
Net -26%
#15901
negative
other
#15902
negative
other
#15903
one-bet luck
world
#15904
negative
world
#15905
negative
sports
#15906
negative
politics
#15907
negative
other
#15908
fragile wins
world
#15909
unreliable
sports
#15910
negative
world
#15911
negative
crypto
#15912
negative
crypto
#15913
negative
other
#15914
negative
other
#15915
negative
crypto
#15916
negative
other
#15917
negative
crypto
#15918
negative
crypto
#15919
negative
crypto
#15920
negative
crypto
#15921
negative
crypto
#15922
negative
crypto
#15923
negative
sports
#15924
sports
#15925
negative
sports
#15926
unreliable
sports
#15927
negative
other
#15928
negative
other
#15929
negative
sports
#15930
fragile wins
other
#15931
unreliable
crypto
#15932
unreliable
sports
#15933
negative
sports
#15934
negative
world
#15935
negative
sports
#15936
unreliable
sports
#15937
negative
sports
#15938
negative
sports
#15939
negative
world
#15940
negative
crypto
#15941
other
#15942
negative
sports
#15943
negative
crypto
#15944
negative
sports
#15945
negative
other
#15946
other
#15947
negative
other
#15948
trap
other
#15949
negative
world
#15950
negative
other
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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