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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
bet $28
tr/day 0.3
WR 46%
WR 7/30/all —/50/46
draw 60%
Kalshi 66%
active 14d
bet $40
tr/day 0.4
WR 48%
WR 7/30/all —/71/48
draw 2%
Kalshi 67%
active 16d
bet $711
tr/day 2.6
WR 15%
WR 7/30/all —/6/15
draw 100%
Kalshi 72%
active 0d
bet $55
tr/day 3.8
WR 41%
WR 7/30/all 44/47/41
draw 100%
Kalshi 89%
active 0d
bet $1,004
tr/day 2.9
WR 15%
WR 7/30/all —/0/15
draw 100%
Kalshi 71%
active 0d
bet $34
tr/day 0.2
WR 41%
WR 7/30/all —/67/41
draw 14%
Kalshi 69%
active 15d
16307
0x898b…560d
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche politics
bet $735
tr/day 0.1
WR 65%
WR 7/30/all —/60/65
draw 2%
Kalshi 79%
active 12d
bet $27
tr/day 0.2
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all —/62/43
draw 26%
Kalshi 64%
active 16d
bet $1,760
tr/day 4.2
WR 16%
WR 7/30/all —/9/16
draw 100%
Kalshi 66%
active 6d
bet $26
tr/day 0.2
WR 52%
WR 7/30/all —/40/52
draw 74%
Kalshi 71%
active 11d
16311
0xf3de…6fe8
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $1,712
tr/day 42.7
WR 88%
WR 7/30/all 77/85/88
draw 85%
Kalshi 97%
active 0d
bet $282
tr/day 0.1
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all —/100/98
draw 100%
Kalshi 95%
active 15d
bet $166
tr/day 2.5
WR 9%
WR 7/30/all 14/12/9
draw 100%
Kalshi 52%
active 0d
bet $27
tr/day 0.5
WR 28%
WR 7/30/all —/38/28
draw 74%
Kalshi 79%
active 13d
16315
0xf34b…bcb3
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $194
tr/day 18.0
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all 78/50/56
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
−$244 ·3🔓
ROI +6%
Net -12%
16316
0x9b29…4f2c
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche crypto
bet $61
tr/day 55.0
WR 64%
WR 7/30/all 64/64/64
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $225
tr/day 2.6
WR 8%
WR 7/30/all 17/12/8
draw 100%
Kalshi 52%
active 0d
bet $156
tr/day 2.6
WR 11%
WR 7/30/all 33/15/11
draw 100%
Kalshi 58%
active 0d
bet $625
tr/day 2.3
WR 17%
WR 7/30/all —/33/17
draw 48%
Kalshi 100%
active 8d
bet $25
tr/day 0.3
WR 41%
WR 7/30/all —/41/41
draw 100%
Kalshi 66%
active 16d
bet $128
tr/day 3.5
WR 37%
WR 7/30/all 39/50/37
draw 100%
Kalshi 98%
active 0d
−$836 ·1🔓
ROI -11%
Net -22%
bet $1,454
tr/day 3.4
WR 18%
WR 7/30/all —/3/18
draw 27%
Kalshi 72%
active 8d
bet $214
tr/day 0.1
WR 9%
WR 7/30/all —/—/9
draw 100%
Kalshi 61%
active 4d
bet $20
tr/day 0.2
WR 62%
WR 7/30/all —/—/62
draw 27%
Kalshi 67%
active 15d
bet $2,137
tr/day 7.7
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all 56/50/50
draw 100%
Kalshi 62%
active 2d
+$11K ·2🔓
ROI +58%
Net +32%
bet $26
tr/day 0.2
WR 52%
WR 7/30/all —/57/52
draw 8%
Kalshi 76%
active 15d
bet $262
tr/day 0.1
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all —/100/98
draw 100%
Kalshi 98%
active 15d
16328
0x17eb…71a0
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche crypto
bet $298
tr/day 15.7
WR 87%
WR 7/30/all —/87/87
draw 19%
Kalshi 100%
active 14d
bet $263
tr/day 2.9
WR 14%
WR 7/30/all 29/11/14
draw 100%
Kalshi 54%
active 0d
bet $21
tr/day 4.7
WR 25%
WR 7/30/all 38/25/25
draw 100%
Kalshi 42%
active 0d
+$259 ·3🔓
ROI -5%
Net -17%
bet $182
tr/day 1.7
WR 40%
WR 7/30/all 27/36/40
draw 100%
Kalshi 91%
active 0d
bet $160
tr/day 2.6
WR 10%
WR 7/30/all 17/6/10
draw 100%
Kalshi 56%
active 0d
bet $206
tr/day 1.1
WR 77%
WR 7/30/all 60/60/77
draw 100%
Kalshi 76%
active 0d
−$407 ·1🔓
ROI -2%
Net -12%
16334
0x63e5…9797
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $919
tr/day 0.8
WR 46%
WR 7/30/all —/50/46
draw 100%
Kalshi 96%
active 11d
−$13 ·1🔓
ROI -54%
Net -60%
bet $236
tr/day 2.5
WR 36%
WR 7/30/all 18/35/36
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 1d
16336
0x7bb8…46e6
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $888
tr/day 0.7
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all —/46/44
draw 100%
Kalshi 96%
active 10d
−$12 ·1🔓
ROI -55%
Net -61%
16337
0x91ff…ecb6
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $888
tr/day 0.7
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all —/46/44
draw 100%
Kalshi 96%
active 10d
−$14 ·1🔓
ROI -55%
Net -61%
16338
0xe2d5…4bdd
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $891
tr/day 0.7
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all —/46/44
draw 100%
Kalshi 96%
active 10d
−$18 ·1🔓
ROI -55%
Net -61%
bet $35
tr/day 4.5
WR 47%
WR 7/30/all —/47/47
draw 63%
Kalshi 59%
active 12d
bet $3,762
tr/day 3.5
WR 29%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 57%
active 14d
bet $106
tr/day 4.3
WR 47%
WR 7/30/all —/48/47
draw 100%
Kalshi 96%
active 15d
16342
0x5aa4…16e3
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $280
tr/day 37.5
WR 45%
WR 7/30/all 54/40/45
draw 100%
Kalshi 96%
active 0d
bet $43
tr/day 2.8
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all 44/53/53
draw 100%
Kalshi 43%
active 1d
bet $234
tr/day 3.4
WR 60%
WR 7/30/all —/67/60
draw 100%
Kalshi 55%
active 19d
bet $674
tr/day 5.9
WR 42%
WR 7/30/all —/42/42
draw 100%
Kalshi 94%
active 10d
16346
0x1940…0ea1
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche other
bet $272
tr/day 23.2
WR 89%
WR 7/30/all 86/89/89
draw 100%
Kalshi 46%
active 0d
+$388 ·12🔓
ROI +42%
Net +9%
bet $225
tr/day 3.3
WR 35%
WR 7/30/all 57/39/35
draw 100%
Kalshi 64%
active 2d
bet $1,378
tr/day 3.4
WR 68%
WR 7/30/all 70/61/68
draw 100%
Kalshi 97%
active 0d
bet $351
tr/day 4.8
WR 48%
WR 7/30/all 33/49/48
draw 100%
Kalshi 98%
active 0d
−$11K ·1🔓
ROI -6%
Net -18%
16350
0x040b…f11a
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche world
bet $502
tr/day 0.3
WR 40%
WR 7/30/all —/64/40
draw 100%
Kalshi 87%
active 3d
−$3K ·1🔓
ROI -29%
Net -36%
#16301
fragile wins
world
#16302
one-bet luck
world
#16303
negative
politics
#16304
negative
sports
#16305
negative
politics
#16306
negative
world
#16307
negative
politics
#16308
negative
other
#16309
negative
other
#16310
negative
world
#16311
negative
sports
#16312
negative
crypto
#16313
negative
other
#16314
negative
world
#16315
negative
sports
#16316
—
bot
crypto
#16317
negative
other
#16318
negative
other
#16319
one-bet luck
world
#16320
negative
world
#16321
negative
sports
#16322
negative
politics
#16323
negative
other
#16324
fragile wins
world
#16325
unreliable
sports
#16326
negative
world
#16327
negative
crypto
#16328
negative
crypto
#16329
negative
other
#16330
negative
other
#16331
negative
crypto
#16332
negative
other
#16333
negative
crypto
#16334
negative
crypto
#16335
negative
crypto
#16336
negative
crypto
#16337
negative
crypto
#16338
negative
crypto
#16339
negative
sports
#16340
sports
#16341
negative
sports
#16342
unreliable
sports
#16343
negative
other
#16344
negative
other
#16345
negative
sports
#16346
fragile wins
other
#16347
unreliable
crypto
#16348
unreliable
sports
#16349
negative
sports
#16350
negative
world
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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