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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
bet $219
tr/day 1.4
WR 66%
WR 7/30/all 100/58/66
draw 8%
Kalshi 93%
active 8d
bet $1,160
tr/day 2.7
WR 58%
WR 7/30/all 100/56/58
draw 24%
Kalshi 73%
active 0d
+$41K ·28🔓
ROI +4%
Net -9%
bet $844
tr/day 5.1
WR 65%
WR 7/30/all —/56/65
draw 100%
Kalshi 74%
active 13d
6854
0x2ab4…b18b
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $141
tr/day 14.5
WR 45%
WR 7/30/all —/—/45
draw 77%
Kalshi 77%
active 36d
bet $58
tr/day 0.5
WR 42%
WR 7/30/all —/—/42
draw 58%
Kalshi 68%
active 33d
bet $122
tr/day 7.6
WR 27%
WR 7/30/all —/—/27
draw 100%
Kalshi 23%
active 39d
bet $381
tr/day 1.5
WR 45%
WR 7/30/all 36/40/45
draw 100%
Kalshi 57%
active 0d
bet $182
tr/day 2.7
WR 64%
WR 7/30/all —/—/64
draw 100%
Kalshi 43%
active 18d
bet $103
tr/day 0.2
WR 78%
WR 7/30/all —/—/78
draw 100%
Kalshi 59%
active 52d
bet $1,116
tr/day 4.8
WR 57%
WR 7/30/all 83/53/57
draw 100%
Kalshi 69%
active 1d
bet $400
tr/day 7.0
WR 40%
WR 7/30/all 29/35/40
draw 88%
Kalshi 67%
active 0d
+$12K ·1🔓
ROI +0%
Net -13%
6862
0x77a1…de3d
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $914
tr/day 1.8
WR 40%
WR 7/30/all 23/48/40
draw 50%
Kalshi 76%
active 0d
+$15K ·32🔓
ROI -4%
Net -16%
6863
0xb185…1b86
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche other
bet $146
tr/day 9.6
WR 93%
WR 7/30/all 57/85/93
draw 11%
Kalshi 37%
active 0d
+$735 ·12🔓
ROI +1%
Net -16%
bet $101
tr/day 0.7
WR 37%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 32%
Kalshi 92%
active 0d
6865
0x9ca6…7179
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche economics
bet $527
tr/day 0.1
WR 0%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 4d
bet $229
tr/day 0.6
WR 41%
WR 7/30/all —/42/41
draw 100%
Kalshi 57%
active 21d
6867
0x58d7…17e1
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $1,457
tr/day 0.9
WR 64%
WR 7/30/all —/77/64
draw 21%
Kalshi 89%
active 18d
bet $39
tr/day 2.5
WR 46%
WR 7/30/all —/50/46
draw 100%
Kalshi 78%
active 26d
bet $479
tr/day 1.3
WR 95%
WR 7/30/all —/96/95
draw 81%
Kalshi 77%
active 5d
bet $112
tr/day 1.5
WR 51%
WR 7/30/all 61/51/51
draw 100%
Kalshi 57%
active 0d
6871
0x2267…dc7d
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $1,976
tr/day 0.8
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 39d
bet $366
tr/day 2.0
WR 29%
WR 7/30/all 24/29/29
draw 43%
Kalshi 48%
active 0d
+$18K ·7🔓
ROI -5%
Net -14%
bet $171
tr/day 1.9
WR 39%
WR 7/30/all —/—/39
draw 67%
Kalshi 56%
active 43d
6874
0x3034…507c
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $429
tr/day 33.1
WR 93%
WR 7/30/all —/—/93
draw 22%
Kalshi 98%
active 53d
6875
0x5ba0…1803
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $79
tr/day 8.9
WR 58%
WR 7/30/all —/—/58
draw 36%
Kalshi 95%
active 52d
bet $248
tr/day 2.5
WR 46%
WR 7/30/all 68/57/46
draw 63%
Kalshi 81%
active 0d
6877
0xcf08…4f4b
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche world
bet $501
tr/day 1.5
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 59d
6878
0x62f8…f64f
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $275
tr/day 10.2
WR 52%
WR 7/30/all 48/52/52
draw 82%
Kalshi 79%
active 0d
6879
0xf30a…0fa4
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $747
tr/day 1.4
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all —/—/44
draw 74%
Kalshi 63%
active 37d
bet $18
tr/day 0.2
WR 47%
WR 7/30/all —/—/47
draw 12%
Kalshi 75%
active 55d
bet $43
tr/day 2.3
WR 83%
WR 7/30/all —/50/83
draw 76%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $512
tr/day 2.8
WR 88%
WR 7/30/all —/76/88
draw 97%
Kalshi 72%
active 0d
bet $276
tr/day 2.3
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all 73/64/53
draw 100%
Kalshi 68%
active 0d
+$395 ·1🔓
ROI -11%
Net -19%
bet $136
tr/day 2.4
WR 76%
WR 7/30/all —/—/76
draw 100%
Kalshi 87%
active 9d
bet $6,489
tr/day 7.0
WR 80%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 0%
active 0d
bet $119
tr/day 6.8
WR 41%
WR 7/30/all —/—/41
draw 30%
Kalshi 89%
active 53d
bet $33
tr/day 0.4
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/17/50
draw 100%
Kalshi 18%
active 53d
bet $60
tr/day 1.2
WR 61%
WR 7/30/all —/—/61
draw 100%
Kalshi 77%
active 27d
6889
0x30b9…a775
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche politics
bet $163
tr/day 9.8
WR 97%
WR 7/30/all —/97/97
draw 14%
Kalshi 93%
active 5d
bet $32
tr/day 3.2
WR 49%
WR 7/30/all —/20/49
draw 57%
Kalshi 67%
active 21d
bet $240
tr/day 3.2
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all —/18/44
draw 57%
Kalshi 69%
active 22d
bet $351
tr/day 1.4
WR 59%
WR 7/30/all —/54/59
draw 45%
Kalshi 95%
active 7d
bet $396
tr/day 0.5
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all —/33/53
draw 100%
Kalshi 81%
active 2d
6894
0xcb9c…32e2
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche tech
bet $747
tr/day 0.4
WR 59%
WR 7/30/all —/60/59
draw 23%
Kalshi 91%
active 22d
bet $17
tr/day 3.8
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all —/100/56
draw 76%
Kalshi 100%
active 22d
bet $117
tr/day 1.4
WR 26%
WR 7/30/all 28/36/26
draw 39%
Kalshi 31%
active 0d
+$8K ·10🔓
ROI -7%
Net -16%
bet $159
tr/day 2.9
WR 48%
WR 7/30/all —/—/48
draw 59%
Kalshi 59%
active 41d
bet $474
tr/day 1.9
WR 64%
WR 7/30/all —/—/64
draw 50%
Kalshi 45%
active 44d
bet $65
tr/day 5.4
WR 99%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/99
draw 6%
Kalshi 93%
active 0d
6900
0x43cc…9211
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche world
bet $543
tr/day 1.7
WR 90%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 24%
Kalshi 93%
active 14d
—
+$10K ·49🔓
ROI +6%
Net -8%
#6851
negative
sports
#6852
negative
world
#6853
negative
sports
#6854
negative
sports
#6855
negative
sports
#6856
negative
other
#6857
negative
sports
#6858
negative
other
#6859
negative
other
#6860
negative
sports
#6861
negative
sports
#6862
negative
sports
#6863
negative
other
#6864
—
crypto
#6865
economics
#6866
edge dead
sports
#6867
negative
sports
#6868
negative
crypto
#6869
negative
crypto
#6870
negative
sports
#6871
negative
crypto
#6872
negative
other
#6873
negative
sports
#6874
fragile wins
sports
#6875
trap
sports
#6876
negative
culture
#6877
world
#6878
negative
sports
#6879
negative
sports
#6880
negative
world
#6881
negative
crypto
#6882
negative
sports
#6883
negative
sports
#6884
negative
sports
#6885
—
other
#6886
negative
sports
#6887
negative
other
#6888
negative
sports
#6889
negative
politics
#6890
negative
crypto
#6891
negative
sports
#6892
negative
crypto
#6893
negative
sports
#6894
negative
tech
#6895
negative
sports
#6896
negative
other
#6897
negative
sports
#6898
negative
other
#6899
negative
sports
#6900
—
negative
world
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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